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Humble Group

Humble Group

Humble Group is a Swedish fast-growing FMCG group with the strategy to grow both organically and through acquisitions. Through a reverse listing via Bayn Group in 2020, Humble Group in its current shape was formed. Since then the group has made nearly 50 acquisitions, and is aiming to become a new FMCG powerhouse consisting of entrepreneur-driven companies. This allows the group to enjoy the perks of small enterprises while still having the large-scale benefits of a big group.

Sustainability information

We stress that the group’s history in its current form is not very long. With acquisitions being an integral part of the business, we highlight that Humble potentially could suffer from market decline, increased competition, or price pressure, which could affect the group’s acquisition agenda and its financial performance. Additionally, considering that Humble has a relatively large share of in-house production, this is associated with several risks, such as potential disruptions in the production, machinery breakdown or IT-problems. Furthermore, Humble is exposed to FX fluctuations which could affect both sales and the cost base.

SEKm 2024 2025e 2026e
Sales 7707 8097 8682
Sales growth (%) 9,3 5,1 7,2
EBITDA 686 711 859
EBITDA margin (%) 8,9 8,8 9,9
EBIT adj. 384 415 515
EBIT adj. margin (%) 5 5,1 5,9
Pretax profit 158 190 349
EPS 0,26 0,3 0,62
EPS growth (%) N/A 14 N/A
EPS adj. 0,61 0,71 0,96
DPS 0 0 0
EV/EBITDA (x) 7,9 7,2 5,7
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 14,1 12,4 9,5
P/E (x) 29,6 26 12,6
P/E adj. (x) 12,9 11 8,1
EV/sales (x) 0,7 0,64 0,56
FCF yield (%) -5,5 6,5 10,1
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) -8,2 2,8 6,4
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 0
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 2,7 2,3 1,7
Le. adj. ND/EBITDA (x) 2,2 1,8 1,3
SEKm 2024 2025e 2026e
Sales 7707 8097 8682
COGS -5289 -5506 -5878
Gross profit 2418 2591 2804
Other operating items -1732 -1880 -1945
EBITDA 686 711 859
Depreciation and amortisation -117 -145 -153
of which leasing depreciation -78 -100 -100
EBITA 569 565 706
EO Items -10 -42 0
Impairment and PPA amortisation -195 -192 -191
EBIT 374 373 515
Net financial items -216 -183 -166
Pretax profit 158 190 349
Tax -37 -56 -72
Net profit 121 134 277
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 121 134 277
EPS 0,26 0,3 0,62
EPS adj. 0,61 0,71 0,96
Total extraordinary items after tax -8 -30 0
Leasing payments -78 -100 -100
Tax rate (%) 23,4 29,5 20,6
Gross margin (%) 31,4 32 32,3
EBITDA margin (%) 8,9 8,8 9,9
EBITA margin (%) 7,4 7 8,1
EBIT margin (%) 4,9 4,6 5,9
Pre-tax margin (%) 2,1 2,4 4
Net margin (%) 1,6 1,7 3,2
Sales growth (%) 9,3 5,1 7,2
EBITDA growth (%) 4,1 3,6 20,8
EBITA growth (%) 4 -0,6 24,9
EBIT growth (%) 18,4 -0,1 37,9
Net profit growth (%) -214,2 10,9 106,3
EPS growth (%) N/A 14 N/A
Profitability N/A N/A N/A
ROE (%) 2,4 2,6 5,2
ROE adj. (%) 6,4 6,8 8,8
ROCE (%) 5,4 5,1 7,1
ROCE adj. (%) 8,1 8,3 9,7
ROIC (%) 6,4 5,7 8,2
ROIC adj. (%) 6,5 6,2 8,2
Adj. earnings numbers N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA adj. 696 753 859
EBITDA adj. margin (%) 9 9,3 9,9
EBITDA lease adj. 618 653 759
EBITDA lease adj. margin (%) 8 8,1 8,7
EBITA adj. 579 607 706
EBITA adj. margin (%) 7,5 7,5 8,1
EBIT adj. 384 415 515
EBIT adj. margin (%) 5 5,1 5,9
Pretax profit Adj. 363 424 540
Net profit Adj. 324 356 468
Net profit to shareholders adj. 324 356 468
Net adj. margin (%) 4,2 4,4 5,4
SEKm 2024 2025e 2026e
EBITDA 686 711 859
Goodwill 3807 3807 3807
Net financial items -216 -183 -166
Other intangible assets 2228 1942 1872
Paid tax -77 -80 -72
Tangible fixed assets 261 288 301
Non-cash items -7 48 0
Right-of-use asset 419 439 467
Cash flow before change in WC 386 496 620
Total other fixed assets 127 133 133
Change in working capital -232 -21 -65
Fixed assets 6842 6609 6580
Operating cash flow 154 475 555
Inventories 1160 1216 1307
Capex tangible fixed assets -92 -79 -65
Receivables 911 912 981
Capex intangible fixed assets -62 -68 -122
Other current assets 0 0 0
Acquisitions and Disposals -198 -101 -16
Cash and liquid assets 432 416 641
Free cash flow -198 227 353
Total assets 9345 9154 9509
Dividend paid 0 0 0
Shareholders equity 5221 5171 5448
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Minority 0 0 0
Leasing liability amortisation -96 -129 -128
Total equity 5221 5171 5448
Other non-cash items -17 152 16
Long-term debt 1430 1385 1385
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Leasing liability 452 460 460
Total other long-term liabilities 632 556 556
Short-term debt 475 322 306
Accounts payable 679 738 794
Other current liabilities 456 521 560
Total liabilities and equity 9345 9154 9509
Net IB debt 1835 1661 1420
Net IB debt excl. pension debt 1835 1661 1420
Net IB debt excl. leasing 1383 1201 960
Capital employed 7578 7338 7599
Capital invested 7056 6832 6868
Working capital 936 869 934
Market cap. diluted (m) 3581 3483 3483
Net IB debt adj. 1835 1661 1420
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity N/A N/A N/A
EV 5416 5144 4903
Total assets turnover (%) 84,4 87,5 93
Working capital/sales (%) 9,3 11,1 10,4
Financial risk and debt service N/A N/A N/A
Net debt/equity (%) 35,1 32,1 26,1
Net debt / market cap (%) 51,2 47,7 40,8
Equity ratio (%) 55,9 56,5 57,3
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) 35,1 32,1 26,1
Current ratio 1,55 1,61 1,76
EBITDA/net interest 3,2 3,9 5,2
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 2,7 2,3 1,7
Net IB debt/EBITDA lease adj. (x) 2,2 1,8 1,3
Interest coverage 2,5 3 4
SEKm 2024 2025e 2026e
Shares outstanding adj. 459 447 447
Diluted shares adj. 459 447 447
EPS 0,26 0,3 0,62
Dividend per share 0 0 0
EPS adj. 0,61 0,71 0,96
BVPS 11,37 11,58 12,2
BVPS adj. -1,77 -1,29 -0,52
Net IB debt/share 4 3,72 3,18
Share price 7,8 7,8 7,8
Market cap. (m) 3581 3483 3483
P/E (x) 29,6 26 12,6
EV/sales (x) 0,7 0,6 0,6
EV/EBITDA (x) 7,9 7,2 5,7
EV/EBITA (x) 9,5 9,1 6,9
EV/EBIT (x) 14,5 13,8 9,5
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 0
FCF yield (%) -5,5 6,5 10,1
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) -8,2 2,8 6,4
P/BVPS (x) 0,69 0,67 0,64
P/BVPS adj. (x) 2,53 2,55 2,12
P/E adj. (x) 12,9 11 8,1
EV/EBITDA adj. (x) 7,8 6,8 5,7
EV/EBITA adj. (x) 9,4 8,5 6,9
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 14,1 12,4 9,5
EV/CE (x) 0,7 0,7 0,6
Investment ratios N/A N/A N/A
Capex/sales (%) 2 1,8 2,2
Capex/depreciation 3,9 3,2 3,6
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 35,2 27,3 21,7
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on intang / def. intang N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 14,9 15,8 17,5

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Media

Humble Group - Company presentation with CEO Simon Petrén
Humble Group - Company presentation with CEO Simon Petrén

Main shareholders - Humble Group

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Neudi & C:o AB 10.3 % 10.3 % 26 Jun 2025
Håkan Roos (RoosGruppen) 10.3 % 10.3 % 26 Jun 2025
Capital Group 6.7 % 6.7 % 30 Jun 2025
Noel Abdayem 6.3 % 6.3 % 9 Apr 2025
Avanza Pension 5.7 % 5.7 % 26 Jun 2025
Alta Fox Capital 5.5 % 5.5 % 9 May 2025
Briarwood Chase Management LLC 5.5 % 5.5 % 27 May 2025
Jofam AB 3.4 % 3.4 % 16 May 2025
Nordnet Pensionsförsäkring 3.2 % 3.2 % 26 Jun 2025
DNB Asset Management SA 3.0 % 3.0 % 30 Jun 2025
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB