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NYAB

NYAB

NYAB is an infrastructure company based in northern Sweden (HQ in Luleå). Typical projects include construction of roads, bridges, railways and power lines. NYAB primarily acts as a main contractor focusing on project design and management in close collaboration with the customers while it outsources most of the construction work. The business is thus asset-light (~70% of workforce are white-collar, 85% of costs are variable), supporting its industry-leading profitability. Its biggest customer is Svenska Kraftnät, which plans to 3x its grid investments coming years. NYAB target sales CAGR and EBIT margins exceeding 10% and 7.5%.

The key concern for NYAB is managing the risks taken in projects: earnings risk being burdened by write downs if projects unexpectedly grow in scope and/or complexity, leading to higher costs. There are also general risks of margin contractions in strong markets, if subcontractors raise prices faster than expected. Other risks include (but are not limited to) those associated with M&A execution, a softer construction market, financial leverage, below-expectation performance in acquired units post-acquisition, overall cost inflation, and employee retention.

EURm 2025 2026e 2027e
Sales 547 585 621
Rental income 547 585 621
Sales growth (%) 58,2 7 6
Rental growth 58,2 7 6
EBITDA 37 45 47
NOI N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA margin (%) 6,8 7,6 7,6
NOI margin (%) 0 0 0
EBIT adj. 32 39 42
CEPS 0 0 0
EBIT adj. margin (%) 5,9 6,7 6,7
CEPS growth (%) N/A N/A N/A
Pretax profit 29 36 40
DPS 0,01 0,02 0,02
EPS 0,03 0,04 0,05
EPRA NRV per share 0 0 0
EPS adj. 0,03 0,04 0,05
EPS growth (%) 64,1 21,8 -100
P/CEPS N/A N/A N/A
EV/EBITDA (x) 9,8 8 7,2
P/E (x) 17,8 13,9 12,6
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 11,3 9 8,2
P/EPRA NRV N/A N/A N/A
Implicit yield (%) 0 0 0
P/E adj. (x) 15,6 12,3 11,2
Dividend yield (%) 1,8 2,8 3,6
EV/sales (x) 0,67 0,61 0,55
Net LTV (%) N/A N/A N/A
FCF yield (%) -0,9 6,8 7,6
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) -1,2 6,5 7,3
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 0 -0,3 -0,6
Le. adj. ND/EBITDA (x) -0,2 -0,5 -0,7
EURm 2025 2026e 2027e
Rental income 547 585 621
Sales 547 572,76 618,58
COGS -431 -447 -482
Other income N/A N/A N/A
Gross profit 116 126 137
Operating costs -547 -585 -621
Other operating items -78 -82 -89
NOI N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA 37 44 48
NOI margin (%) 0 0 0
Depreciation and amortisation -5 -5 -6
Adm. costs N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on leased assets 0 0 0
All other income & costs 33 39 42
EBITA 32,25 38,37 42,19
Recurring EBIT N/A N/A N/A
Operating EO items 0 0 0
Net financial items -2 -2 0
Impairment and amortisation charges -2 -2 -2
Income from property management -2 -2 0
EBIT 30,64 36,52 40,31
Value chg. realized N/A N/A N/A
Value chg. unrealized N/A N/A N/A
Pretax profit 28 36 39
Value chg. derivatives N/A N/A N/A
Tax -6 -8 -8
Net profit 22 28 31
Deferred tax 0 0 0
Minority interest 0 0 0
Current tax -6 -7 -8
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 22 28 31
EPS 0,03 0,04 0,04
Div. Pref/D-shares and hybrids N/A N/A N/A
EPS adj. 0,03 0,04 0,05
Total extraordinary items after tax 0 0 0
Cash earnings N/A N/A N/A
Leasing payments 0 0 0
Other related information N/A N/A N/A
Tax rate (%) 22,8 21,8 21
Tax Rate (%) 21,4 20 20
Gross margin (%) 21,1 21,9 22,1
Investments in developments N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA margin (%) 6,8 7,6 7,7
Acquisitions N/A N/A N/A
EBITA margin (%) 5,9 6,7 6,8
Other investments N/A N/A N/A
EBIT margin (%) 5,6 6,4 6,5
Divestments N/A N/A N/A
Pre-tax margin (%) 5,1 6,3 6,4
Net margin (%) 4 4,9 5
CEPS 0 0 0
Growth Rates y-o-y N/A N/A N/A
Dividend per share 0,01 0,02 0,02
Sales growth (%) 58,1 4,7 8
Payout ratio of CEPS N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA growth (%) 22,5 17,3 9,7
Rental growth 58,16 7 6
EBITA growth (%) 22,3 19 10
NOI growth N/A N/A N/A
EBIT growth (%) 20,9 19,2 10,4
CEPS growth N/A N/A N/A
Net profit growth (%) 24 29,9 10,4
Profitability N/A N/A N/A
EPS growth (%) 25,7 29,9 10,4
ROE (%) 10,8 12,9 13,2
ROE adj. (%) 11,6 13,7 13,9
ROCE (%) 14,8 15,8 16,2
ROCE adj. (%) 15,5 16,6 17
ROIC (%) 13,4 15,3 16,8
ROIC adj. (%) 13,4 15,3 16,8
Adj. earnings numbers N/A N/A N/A
Year N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA adj. 37 44 48
EBITDA adj. margin (%) 6,8 7,6 7,7
EBITDA lease adj. 37 44 48
EBITDA lease adj. margin (%) 6,8 7,6 7,7
EBITA adj. 32 38 42
EBITA adj. margin (%) 5,9 6,7 6,8
EBIT adj. 32 38 42
EBIT adj. margin (%) 5,9 6,7 6,8
Pretax profit Adj. 30 38 41
Net profit Adj. 23 30 33
Net profit to shareholders adj. 23 30 33
Net adj. margin (%) 4,3 5,3 5,3
EURm 2025 2026e 2027e
EBITDA 37 44 48
Goodwill 139 139 139
Net financial items -2 0 -1
Other intangible assets 9 9 10
Paid tax -5 -2 0
Tangible fixed assets 14 15 16
Non-cash items 1 -7 -8
Right-of-use asset 6 7 7
Cash flow before change in WC 31 34 39
Other Fixed Assets All 19 19 19
Change in working capital 12 0 -1
Fixed assets 186 188 190
Operating cash flow 43 33 38
Inventories 1 2 2
Capex tangible fixed assets -2 -8 -9
Receivables 132 142 154
Capex intangible fixed assets 0 0 0
Other current assets 0 0 0
Acquisitions and Disposals -29 0 0
Cash and liquid assets 31 45 59
Free cash flow 12 25 28
Total assets 351 377 404
Dividend paid -7 -10 -11
Shareholders equity 210 228 245
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Minority 0 0 0
Leasing liability amortisation -2 -2 -2
Total equity 210 228 245
Other changes in net debt -5 3 -1
Long-term debt 4 3 3
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Leasing liability 6 6 6
Total other long-term liabilities 6 6 6
Short-term debt 6 4 4
Accounts payable 119 129 140
Other current liabilities 0 0 0
Total liabilities and equity 351 377 404
Net IB debt -15 -31 -45
Net IB debt excl. pension debt -15 -31 -45
Net IB debt excl. leasing -22 -38 -52
Capital employed 225 242 259
Capital invested 194 197 200
Working capital 14 15 16
Market cap. diluted (m) 388 388 388
Net IB debt adj. -15 -31 -45
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity N/A N/A N/A
EV 373 357 343
Total assets turnover (%) 172 157,4 158,4
Working capital/sales (%) 3,1 2,5 2,5
Year N/A N/A N/A
Financial risk and debt service N/A N/A N/A
Net debt/equity (%) -7,4 -13,7 -18,5
Net debt / market cap (%) -4 -8,1 -11,7
Equity ratio (%) 59,7 60,6 60,7
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) -7,4 -13,7 -18,5
Current ratio 1,31 1,42 1,49
EBITDA/net interest 15 102,7 54,6
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) -0,4 -0,7 -0,9
Net IB debt/EBITDA lease adj. (x) -0,6 -0,9 -1,1
Interest coverage 8,9 42,3 37,8
EURm 2025 2026e 2027e
Shares outstanding adj. 707 707 707
Diluted shares adj. 707 707 707
EPS 0,03 0,04 0,04
Dividend per share 0,01 0,02 0,02
EPS adj. 0,03 0,04 0,05
BVPS 0,3 0,32 0,35
BVPS adj. 0,09 0,11 0,14
Net IB debt/share -0,02 -0,04 -0,06
Share price 6 6 6
Market cap. (m) 388 388 388
P/E (x) 17,87 13,76 12,47
EV/sales (x) 0,68 0,62 0,55
EV/EBITDA (x) 10 8,2 7,2
EV/EBITA (x) 11,6 9,3 8,1
EV/EBIT (x) 12,2 9,8 8,5
Dividend yield (%) 2,5 2,7 3,6
FCF yield (%) 3 6,6 7,3
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) 2,6 6 6,7
P/BVPS (x) 1,85 1,7 1,58
P/BVPS adj. (x) 5,49 4,33 3,64
P/E adj. (x) 16,9 13,1 11,9
EV/EBITDA adj. (x) 10 8,2 7,2
EV/EBITA adj. (x) 11,6 9,3 8,1
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 11,6 9,3 8,1
EV/CE (x) 1,7 1,5 1,3
Year N/A N/A N/A
Investment ratios N/A N/A N/A
Capex/sales (%) -0,4 -1,4 -1,5
Capex/depreciation 0,5 1,5 1,6
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 15,9 52,3 58,7
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on intang / def. intang N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 34,93 35,11 35,64

Equity research

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Media

NYAB - Company presentation with CFO Klas Rewelj & VP Corporate Affairs Erik Petersen
NYAB - Fireside chat with CEO Johan Larsson

Main shareholders -

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Holding Investment Förvaltning i Luleå AB 35.1 % 35.1 % 8 May 2026
Säthergrens Entreprenad AB 10.5 % 10.5 % 28 Apr 2026
Jukka Juola 6.8 % 6.8 % 27 Mar 2026
Swedia Capital 6.2 % 6.2 % 27 Mar 2026
Fredrik Karkiainen 3.9 % 3.9 % 28 Apr 2026
Kim Wiio 3.4 % 3.4 % 27 Mar 2026
Capiloa Oy 3.2 % 3.2 % 27 Mar 2026
Mitteo Holding AB 2.7 % 2.7 % 28 Apr 2026
Mikael Sidér 1.8 % 1.8 % 28 Apr 2026
Pekka Niskanen 1.6 % 1.6 % 27 Mar 2026
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB