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Arctic Paper

Arctic Paper

Arctic Paper is a paper production company focusing on high quality coated and uncoated paper products. The company currently consist of three paper mills and five brands: Amber, Arctic, Arctic Volume, Munken and G. With a majority ownership of the Rottneros AB Group, the company complements their product portfolio with pulp production. Arctic Paper's main clients are printing houses, publishers and wholesalers, serving industries such as advertising and design indirectly.

Sustainability Information

Key risks include: (i) cyclicality of both pulp and paper demand, (ii) Arctic Paper's net short position on pulp, pulpwood, energy and chemicals prices, (iii) a structural decline in paper demand, (iv) potential losses stemming from hedging against electricity and pulp prices and (v) production facility-related issues such as risk of injuries, machinery breakdown, fires and other accidents that can adversely impact the company's production capabilities.

PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
Sales 3196,92 3041,09 3343,44
Sales growth (%) -6,9 -4,9 9,9
EBITDA 28 79 216
EBITDA margin (%) 0,9 2,6 6,5
EBIT adj. -152 -109 68
EBIT adj. margin (%) -4,8 -3,6 2
Pretax profit -204 -79 40
EPS -1,44 -0,86 0,33
EPS growth (%) N/A -40,1 N/A
EPS adj. -1,44 -0,86 0,33
Dividend per share 0 0 0,1
EV/EBITDA (x) 27,7 11,7 4,3
EV/EBIT adj. (x) -5,1 -8,5 13,8
P/E (x) N/A N/A 15,51
P/E adj. (x) N/A N/A 15,5
EV/sales (x) 0,24 0,3 0,28
FCF yield (%) -52 -47,6 -12,2
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) -53,6 -49,2 -13,5
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 1,9
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 4,1 3,5 1,3
Le. adj. ND/EBITDA (x) 4 7,7 1,5
PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
Sales 3196,92 3041,09 3343,44
COGS -2966 -2679 -3005
Gross profit 231 362 339
Other operating items -202 -283 -122
EBITDA 28 79 216
Depreciation and amortisation -190 -153 -148
Depreciation on leased assets 0 0 0
EBITA -166,01 -74,6 67,96
Operating EO items -14 34 0
Impairment and amortisation charges 0 0 0
EBIT -166,01 -74,6 67,96
Net financial items -38 -4 -28
Pretax profit -204 -79 40
Tax 40 -1 -8
Net profit -163 -80 33
Minority interest -75 -20 10
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders -238 -100 43
EPS -1,44 -0,86 0,33
EPS adj. -1,44 -0,86 0,33
Total extraordinary items after tax -14 34 0
Leasing payments -6 -6 -5
Tax rate (%) 19,8 -1,8 19
Gross margin (%) 7,2 11,9 10,1
EBITDA margin (%) 0,9 2,6 6,5
EBITA margin (%) -5,2 -2,5 2
EBIT margin (%) -5,2 -2,5 2
Pre-tax margin (%) -6,4 -2,6 1,2
Net margin (%) -5,1 -2,6 1
Sales growth (%) -6,9 -4,9 9,9
EBITDA growth (%) -90,5 178,8 174,3
EBITA growth (%) -189,7 -55,1 -191,1
EBIT growth (%) -189,7 -55,1 -191,1
Net profit growth (%) -200,8 -51 -140,9
EPS growth (%) N/A -40,1 N/A
Profitability N/A N/A N/A
Year N/A N/A N/A
ROE (%) -16 -6,9 3,1
ROE adj. (%) -15,1 -9,3 3,1
ROCE (%) -7,8 -2,6 4,5
ROCE adj. (%) -7,2 -4,3 4,5
ROIC (%) -7,3 -4 2,8
ROIC adj. (%) -6,7 -5,8 2,8
Adj. earnings numbers N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA adj. 42 45 216
EBITDA adj. margin (%) 1,3 1,5 6,5
EBITDA lease adj. 36 39 212
EBITDA lease adj. margin (%) 1,1 1,3 6,3
EBITA adj. -152 -109 68
EBITA adj. margin (%) -4,8 -3,6 2
EBIT adj. -152 -109 68
EBIT adj. margin (%) -4,8 -3,6 2
Pretax profit Adj. -190 -113 40
Net profit Adj. -149 -114 33
Net profit to shareholders adj. -224 -135 43
Net adj. margin (%) -4,7 -3,8 1
PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
EBITDA 28 79 216
Goodwill 8 8 8
Net financial items -38 -4 -28
Other intangible assets 85 87 87
Paid tax -37 -7 -8
Tangible fixed assets 1528 1527 1543
Non-cash items 118 18 -28
Right-of-use asset 0 0 0
Cash flow before change in WC 72 86 153
Other Fixed Assets All 22 24 24
Change in working capital 46 -90 -32
Fixed assets 1643 1646 1663
Operating cash flow 118 -4 122
Inventories 444 476 526
Capex tangible fixed assets -302 -164 -165
Receivables 368 402 466
Capex intangible fixed assets 0 0 0
Other current assets 173 97 105
Acquisitions and Disposals 0 0 0
Cash and liquid assets 152 74 62
Free cash flow -184 -168 -43
Total assets 2779 2695 2823
Dividend paid 0 0 0
Shareholders equity 1518 1380 1398
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Minority 282 275 272
Leasing liability amortisation -6 -6 -5
Total equity 1800 1654 1670
Other changes in net debt 92 8 35
Long-term debt 93 164 164
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Leasing liability 0 0 0
Total other long-term liabilities 110 118 118
Short-term debt 195 208 208
Accounts payable 455 426 520
Other current liabilities 127 125 143
Total liabilities and equity 2779 2695 2823
Net IB debt 116 274 286
Net IB debt excl. pension debt 116 274 286
Net IB debt excl. leasing 116 274 286
Capital employed 2087 2026 2042
Capital invested 1916 1928 1957
Working capital 403 424 436
Market cap. diluted (m) 353 353 353
Net IB debt adj. 147 298 310
Market value of minority 282 275 272
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity N/A N/A N/A
EV 782 926 936
Total assets turnover (%) 115,5 111,1 121,2
Working capital/sales (%) 13 13,6 12,8
Year N/A N/A N/A
Financial risk and debt service N/A N/A N/A
Net debt/equity (%) 6,4 16,6 17,1
Net debt / market cap (%) 32,8 77,5 81,1
Equity ratio (%) 64,8 61,4 59,2
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) 8,2 18 18,6
Current ratio 1,46 1,38 1,33
EBITDA/net interest 0,8 19,5 7,8
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 4,1 3,5 1,3
Net IB debt/EBITDA lease adj. (x) 4 7,7 1,5
Interest coverage 3,9 2,2 1,8
PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
Shares outstanding adj. 69 69 69
Diluted shares adj. 69 69 69
EPS -1,44 -0,86 0,33
Dividend per share 0 0 0,1
EPS adj. -1,44 -0,86 0,33
BVPS 20,43 19,91 20,18
BVPS adj. 19,08 18,54 18,8
Net IB debt/share 2,12 4,3 4,48
Share price 12,75 12,75 12,75
Market cap. (m) 353 353 353
P/E (x) N/A N/A 15,51
EV/sales (x) 0,24 0,3 0,28
EV/EBITDA (x) 27,7 11,7 4,3
EV/EBITA (x) -4,7 -12,4 13,8
EV/EBIT (x) -4,7 -12,4 13,8
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 1,9
FCF yield (%) -52 -47,6 -12,2
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) -53,6 -49,2 -13,5
P/BVPS (x) 0,25 0,26 0,25
P/BVPS adj. (x) 0,23 0,26 0,25
P/E adj. (x) N/A N/A 15,5
EV/EBITDA adj. (x) 18,5 20,8 4,3
EV/EBITA adj. (x) -5,1 -8,5 13,8
EV/EBIT adj. (x) -5,1 -8,5 13,8
EV/CE (x) 0,4 0,5 0,5
Year N/A N/A N/A
Investment ratios N/A N/A N/A
Capex/sales (%) -9,4 -5,4 -4,9
Capex/depreciation 1,6 1,1 1,1
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 19,8 10,7 10,7
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on intang / def. intang N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 12,46 10,05 9,61

Equity research

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Media

Arctic Paper - Company presentation with CFO Katarzyna Wojtkowiak
Arctic Paper - Fireside chat with President & CEO Michal Jarczyński

Main shareholders - Arctic Paper

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Thomas Onstad 68.3 % 68.3 % 16 Jun 2026
Norges Bank Investment Management 1.7 % 1.7 % 30 Jun 2026
Dimensional Fund Advisors 0.2 % 0.2 % 30 Oct 2026
SEB Funds 0.2 % 0.2 % 30 Sep 2026
Handelsbanken Fonder 0.2 % 0.2 % 31 Oct 2026
Storebrand Asset Management 0.1 % 0.1 % 31 Oct 2026
Per Lundeen 0.1 % 0.1 % 31 Dec 2025
Kärnavfallsfonden 0.0 % 0.0 % 31 Dec 2025
Skandia Fonder 0.0 % 0.0 % 30 Sep 2026
Colonial First State Investments 0.0 % 0.0 % 30 Jun 2026
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB