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NYAB

NYAB

NYAB is an infrastructure company based in northern Sweden (HQ in Luleå). Typical projects include construction of roads, bridges, railways and power lines. NYAB primarily acts as a main contractor focusing on project design and management in close collaboration with the customers while it outsources most of the construction work. The business is thus asset-light (~70% of workforce are white-collar, 85% of costs are variable), supporting its industry-leading profitability. Its biggest customer is Svenska Kraftnät, which plans to 3x its grid investments coming years. NYAB target sales CAGR and EBIT margins exceeding 10% and 7.5%.

The key concern for NYAB is managing the risks taken in projects: earnings risk being burdened by write downs if projects unexpectedly grow in scope and/or complexity, leading to higher costs. There are also general risks of margin contractions in strong markets, if subcontractors raise prices faster than expected. Other risks include (but are not limited to) those associated with M&A execution, a softer construction market, financial leverage, below-expectation performance in acquired units post-acquisition, overall cost inflation, and employee retention.

EURm 2024 2025e 2026e
Sales 346 547 585
Sales growth (%) 23,4 58 7
EBITDA 30 39 46
EBITDA margin (%) 8,8 7,2 7,9
EBIT adj. 26 34 40
EBIT adj. margin (%) 7,6 6,2 6,9
Pretax profit 22 29 36
EPS 0,02 0,03 0,04
EPS adj. 0,03 0,04 0,04
EPS growth (%) 29,2 64,1 21,8
DPS 0,01 0,01 0,02
EV/EBITDA (x) 13,6 10,8 8,9
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 15,7 12,6 10,2
P/E (x) 24,9 18,2 14,6
P/E adj. (x) 23,7 17,3 13,9
EV/sales (x) 1,2 0,78 0,71
FCF yield (%) 5,2 -0,8 6,1
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) 5 -1,1 5,9
Dividend yield (%) 2,3 1,7 2,7
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) -0,5 -0,1 -0,4
Le. adj. ND/EBITDA (x) -0,7 -0,2 -0,5
EURm 2024 2025e 2026e
Sales 346 547 585
COGS -265 -428 -450
Gross profit 81 119 135
Other operating items -51 -79 -89
EBITDA 30 39 46
Depreciation and amortisation -4 -6 -6
of which leasing depreciation 0 0 0
EBITA 26 34 40
EO Items 0 0 0
Impairment and PPA amortisation -1 -2 -2
EBIT 25 32 39
Net financial items -4 -3 -3
Pretax profit 22 29 36
Tax -4 -6 -6
Net profit 18 24 30
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 17 24 30
EPS 0,02 0,03 0,04
EPS adj. 0,03 0,04 0,04
Total extraordinary items after tax 0 0 0
Leasing payments 0 0 0
Tax rate (%) 19 19,4 17,4
Gross margin (%) 23,4 21,7 23,1
EBITDA margin (%) 8,8 7,2 7,9
EBITA margin (%) 7,6 6,2 6,9
EBIT margin (%) 7,3 5,9 6,6
Pre-tax margin (%) 6,3 5,4 6,1
Net margin (%) 5,1 4,3 5,1
Growth Rates y-o-y N/A N/A N/A
Sales growth (%) 23,4 58 7
EBITDA growth (%) 41,9 30 17,3
EBITA growth (%) 48,3 28,6 19
EBIT growth (%) 66,9 27,6 19,9
Net profit growth (%) 61,8 34,8 25,1
Profitability N/A N/A N/A
EPS growth (%) 29,2 64,1 21,8
ROE (%) 9,1 11,7 13,5
ROE adj. (%) 9,7 12,5 14,2
ROCE (%) 12,6 15 16,2
ROCE adj. (%) 13,1 15,7 16,9
ROIC (%) 12 14,2 15,9
ROIC adj. (%) 12 14,2 15,9
Adj. earnings numbers N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA adj. 30 39 46
EBITDA adj. margin (%) 8,8 7,2 7,9
EBITDA lease adj. 30 39 46
EBITDA lease adj. margin (%) 8,8 7,2 7,9
EBITA adj. 26 34 40
EBITA adj. margin (%) 7,6 6,2 6,9
EBIT adj. 26 34 40
EBIT adj. margin (%) 7,6 6,2 6,9
Pretax profit Adj. 23 31 37
Net profit Adj. 19 25 31
Net profit to shareholders adj. 18 25 31
Net adj. margin (%) 5,4 4,6 5,3
EURm 2024 2025e 2026e
EBITDA 30 39 46
Goodwill 122 139 139
Net financial items -4 -3 -3
Other intangible assets 1 10 10
Paid tax -2 -3 0
Tangible fixed assets 14 15 15
Non-cash items 0 -4 -6
Right-of-use asset 4 6 6
Cash flow before change in WC 25 30 37
Total other fixed assets 20 19 19
Change in working capital 3 1 -2
Fixed assets 161 187 189
Operating cash flow 28 31 35
Inventories 11 15 16
Capex tangible fixed assets -4 -5 -9
Receivables 82 108 116
Capex intangible fixed assets 0 0 0
Other current assets 0 0 0
Acquisitions and Disposals -1 -29 0
Cash and liquid assets 31 28 33
Free cash flow 23 -3 26
Total assets 285 339 353
Dividend paid -10 -7 -12
Shareholders equity 193 210 228
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Minority 0 0 0
Leasing liability amortisation -1 -1 -1
Total equity 193 210 228
Other non-cash items -1 -4 1
Long-term debt 1 10 0
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Leasing liability 4 6 6
Total other long-term liabilities 5 6 6
Short-term debt 9 10 10
Accounts payable 73 96 103
Other current liabilities 0 0 0
Total liabilities and equity 285 339 353
Net IB debt -17 -2 -17
Net IB debt excl. pension debt -17 -2 -17
Net IB debt excl. leasing -21 -8 -23
Capital employed 207 236 244
Capital invested 177 208 211
Working capital 20 26 28
Market cap. diluted (m) 430 430 430
Net IB debt adj. -17 -2 -17
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity N/A N/A N/A
EV 413 428 413
Total assets turnover (%) 125,5 175,2 169,1
Working capital/sales (%) 6,6 4,3 4,7
Financial risk and debt service N/A N/A N/A
Net debt/equity (%) -8,6 -1,1 -7,4
Net debt / market cap (%) -3,9 -0,5 -3,9
Equity ratio (%) 67,7 62 64,5
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) -8,6 -1,1 -7,4
Current ratio 1,51 1,42 1,45
EBITDA/net interest 8,2 13,1 15,4
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) -0,5 -0,1 -0,4
Net IB debt/EBITDA lease adj. (x) -0,7 -0,2 -0,5
Interest coverage 6,4 8,7 12,5
EURm 2024 2025e 2026e
Shares outstanding adj. 707 707 707
Diluted shares adj. 707 707 707
EPS 0,02 0,03 0,04
Dividend per share 0,01 0,01 0,02
EPS adj. 0,03 0,04 0,04
BVPS 0,27 0,3 0,32
BVPS adj. 0,1 0,09 0,11
Net IB debt/share -0,02 0 -0,02
Share price 6,79 6,79 6,79
Market cap. (m) 430 430 430
P/E (x) 24,9 18,2 14,6
EV/sales (x) 1,2 0,8 0,7
EV/EBITDA (x) 13,6 10,8 8,9
EV/EBITA (x) 15,7 12,6 10,2
EV/EBIT (x) 16,3 13,2 10,7
Dividend yield (%) 2,3 1,7 2,7
FCF yield (%) 5,2 -0,8 6,1
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) 5 -1,1 5,9
P/BVPS (x) 2,23 2,05 1,89
P/BVPS adj. (x) 6,07 6,02 4,82
P/E adj. (x) 23,7 17,3 13,9
EV/EBITDA adj. (x) 13,6 10,8 8,9
EV/EBITA adj. (x) 15,7 12,6 10,2
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 15,7 12,6 10,2
EV/CE (x) 2 1,8 1,7
Investment ratios N/A N/A N/A
Capex/sales (%) 1,3 1 1,5
Capex/depreciation 1,1 1 1,5
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 30,7 37,5 58,3
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on intang / def. intang N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 27,7 38,1 39,2

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Media

NYAB - Fireside chat with CEO Johan Larsson

Main shareholders -

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Holding Investment Förvaltning i Luleå AB 35.0 % 35.0 % 29 Jul 2025
Säthergrens Entreprenad AB 10.5 % 10.5 % 29 Jul 2025
Jukka Juola 9.4 % 9.4 % 30 Jun 2025
Fredrik Karkiainen 5.3 % 5.3 % 29 Jul 2025
Capiloa Oy 3.5 % 3.5 % 30 Jun 2025
Kim Wiio 3.4 % 3.4 % 30 Jun 2025
Vivida Holding Oy 2.9 % 2.9 % 29 Jul 2024
Mitteo Holding AB 2.7 % 2.7 % 29 Jul 2025
Mikael Sider 1.9 % 1.9 % 29 Jul 2025
Pekka Tapani Niskanen 1.9 % 1.9 % 30 Jun 2025
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB