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BTS Group

BTS Group

BTS offers client-tailored programmes and products to turn strategy into action for the largest companies in the world. BTS takes over when management consultants have told companies what to do, and operates in a global market. Financial targets include: 1) 20% sales growth, primarily organic, 2) a 17% EBITA margin, and 3) an equity ratio that does not fall below 50% over an extended period.

Macro factors affect global activity for management consulting services, and therefore also strategy implementation. Volatile markets and recessions make companies less active in terms of transformation, which could affect BTS negatively. The company is also dependent on its employees, meaning that brand value and company culture are crucial.

SEKm 2025 2026e 2027e
Sales 2712 2794 3045
Sales growth (%) -3,2 3 9
EBITDA 367 435 502
EBITDA margin (%) 13,5 15,6 16,5
EBIT adj. 243 291 360
EBIT adj. margin (%) 9 10,4 11,8
Pretax profit 193 279 350
EPS 7,09 10,08 12,64
EPS growth (%) -64,4 42,1 25,3
EPS adj. 10,54 12,83 15,16
DPS 3,55 5,04 6,32
EV/EBITDA (x) 6,7 5,4 4,4
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 10,1 8,1 6,1
P/E (x) 18,8 13,2 10,5
P/E adj. (x) 12,6 10,4 8,8
EV/sales (x) 0,91 0,84 0,73
FCF yield (%) 4,3 9,5 11,2
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) 2 7,2 8,9
Dividend yield (%) 2,7 3,8 4,7
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) -0,3 -0,6 -0,7
Le. adj. ND/EBITDA (x) -0,8 -1 -1,2
SEKm 2025 2026e 2027e
Sales 2712 2794 3045
COGS 0 0 0
Gross profit 2712 2794 3045
Other operating items -2344 -2359 -2544
EBITDA 367 435 502
Depreciation and amortisation -68 -68 -71
of which leasing depreciation -60 -60 -60
EBITA 299 367 430
EO Items -19 0 0
Impairment and PPA amortisation -75 -76 -70
EBIT 224 291 360
Net financial items -31 -12 -10
Pretax profit 193 279 350
Tax -56 -84 -105
Net profit 137 196 245
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 138 196 245
EPS 7,09 10,08 12,64
EPS adj. 10,54 12,83 15,16
Total extraordinary items after tax -14 0 0
Leasing payments -60 -60 -60
Tax rate (%) 28,9 30 30
Gross margin (%) 100 100 100
EBITDA margin (%) 13,5 15,6 16,5
EBITA margin (%) 11 13,1 14,1
EBIT margin (%) 8,3 10,4 11,8
Pre-tax margin (%) 7,1 10 11,5
Net margin (%) 5,1 7 8
Sales growth (%) -3,2 3 9
EBITDA growth (%) -16,4 18,6 15,2
EBITA growth (%) -18 22,8 17,1
EBIT growth (%) -24,7 29,9 23,6
Net profit growth (%) -64,5 42,5 25,3
EPS growth (%) -64,4 42,1 25,3
Profitability N/A N/A N/A
ROE (%) 8,2 11,2 13
ROE adj. (%) 13,5 15,5 16,7
ROCE (%) 10 12,6 14,7
ROCE adj. (%) 14,2 15,9 17,5
ROIC (%) 13,8 16,4 19
ROIC adj. (%) 14,6 16,4 19
Adj. earnings numbers N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA adj. 386 435 502
EBITDA adj. margin (%) 14,2 15,6 16,5
EBITDA lease adj. 326 375 442
EBITDA lease adj. margin (%) 12 13,4 14,5
EBITA adj. 318 367 430
EBITA adj. margin (%) 11,7 13,1 14,1
EBIT adj. 243 291 360
EBIT adj. margin (%) 9 10,4 11,8
Pretax profit Adj. 287 355 420
Net profit Adj. 226 272 315
Net profit to shareholders adj. 226 272 315
Net adj. margin (%) 8,3 9,7 10,3
SEKm 2025 2026e 2027e
EBITDA 367 435 502
Goodwill 1368 1393 1418
Net financial items -31 -12 -10
Other intangible assets 207 181 161
Paid tax -56 -84 -105
Tangible fixed assets 59 68 73
Non-cash items -267 0 0
Right-of-use asset 142 142 142
Cash flow before change in WC 13 340 386
Total other fixed assets 39 39 39
Change in working capital 331 -2 -5
Fixed assets 1815 1823 1833
Operating cash flow 343 338 381
Inventories 0 0 0
Capex tangible fixed assets -16 -17 -17
Receivables 705 727 792
Capex intangible fixed assets -25 -25 -25
Other current assets 0 0 0
Acquisitions and Disposals -191 -50 -50
Cash and liquid assets 690 808 939
Free cash flow 112 246 289
Total assets 3210 3357 3564
Dividend paid -118 -69 -98
Shareholders equity 1684 1811 1958
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Minority 2 2 2
Leasing liability amortisation -60 -60 -60
Total equity 1686 1812 1960
Other non-cash items 269 0 0
Long-term debt 203 203 203
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Leasing liability 147 147 147
Total other long-term liabilities 96 96 96
Short-term debt 218 218 218
Accounts payable 54 56 61
Other current liabilities 806 824 880
Total liabilities and equity 3210 3357 3564
Net IB debt -122 -239 -371
Net IB debt excl. pension debt -122 -239 -371
Net IB debt excl. leasing -270 -387 -518
Capital employed 2254 2381 2528
Capital invested 1563 1573 1589
Working capital -155 -154 -149
Market cap. diluted (m) 2584 2584 2584
Net IB debt adj. -122 -239 -371
Market value of minority 2 2 2
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity N/A N/A N/A
EV 2463 2346 2214
Total assets turnover (%) 82,5 85,1 88
Working capital/sales (%) 0,4 -5,5 -5
Financial risk and debt service N/A N/A N/A
Net debt/equity (%) -7,3 -13,2 -18,9
Net debt / market cap (%) -4,7 -9,3 -14,4
Equity ratio (%) 52,5 54 55
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) -7,3 -13,2 -18,9
Current ratio 1,29 1,4 1,49
EBITDA/net interest 11,7 36,3 50,2
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) -0,3 -0,6 -0,7
Net IB debt/EBITDA lease adj. (x) -0,8 -1 -1,2
Interest coverage 9,5 30,6 43
SEKm 2025 2026e 2027e
Shares outstanding adj. 19 19 19
Diluted shares adj. 19 19 19
EPS 7,09 10,08 12,64
Dividend per share 3,55 5,04 6,32
EPS adj. 10,54 12,83 15,16
BVPS 86,82 93,36 100,95
BVPS adj. 5,63 12,22 19,55
Net IB debt/share -6,31 -12,35 -19,14
Share price 133,2 133,2 133,2
Market cap. (m) 2584 2584 2584
P/E (x) 18,8 13,2 10,5
EV/sales (x) 0,9 0,8 0,7
EV/EBITDA (x) 6,7 5,4 4,4
EV/EBITA (x) 8,2 6,4 5,1
EV/EBIT (x) 11 8,1 6,1
Dividend yield (%) 2,7 3,8 4,7
FCF yield (%) 4,3 9,5 11,2
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) 2 7,2 8,9
P/BVPS (x) 1,53 1,43 1,32
P/BVPS adj. (x) 23,66 10,9 6,81
P/E adj. (x) 12,6 10,4 8,8
EV/EBITDA adj. (x) 6,4 5,4 4,4
EV/EBITA adj. (x) 7,7 6,4 5,1
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 10,1 8,1 6,1
EV/CE (x) 1,1 1 0,9
Investment ratios N/A N/A N/A
Capex/sales (%) 1,5 1,5 1,4
Capex/depreciation 5,1 5,3 3,7
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 27,3 25,1 23,2
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles 12,1 13,8 15,5
Depreciation on intang / def. intang 0 0 0
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 13,6 11,8 15,6

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Main shareholders - BTS Group

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Henrik Ekelund 19.8 % 41.3 % 12 Nov 2025
Stefan af Petersens 11.6 % 9.6 % 26 Sep 2025
Lannebo Kapitalförvaltning 9.8 % 7.0 % 19 Nov 2025
Nordea Funds 8.3 % 6.0 % 26 Sep 2025
SEB Funds 7.3 % 5.3 % 30 Nov 2025
AMF Pension & Fonder 4.4 % 3.2 % 30 Nov 2025
Handelsbanken Fonder 3.5 % 2.5 % 30 Nov 2025
Alcur Fonder 2.9 % 2.1 % 31 Oct 2025
ODIN Fonder 2.8 % 2.0 % 30 Nov 2025
Pareto Asset Management 1.9 % 1.4 % 30 Nov 2025
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB