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Svedbergs

Svedbergs

Premium bathroom manufacturer

Svedberg is a premium bathroom manufacturer with a Nordic market share of 7%. The company supplies complete bathrooms through its four brands: Svedbergs, Macro Design, Cassoe and Roper Rhodes. The group’s strategy is to gain market share through both organic and acquisition-driven growth. Svedbergs aims to achieve annual revenue growth of 10% (including M&A) and an EBITA margin of at least 15%.

Given the ambitious financial targets, M&A activities can be a risk to the company. With the ambitious EBITA margin target of 15%, we expect the criterion for acquisitions to be rather strict. With the M&A focus in place, this can lead to 1) high acquisition multiples 2) a price focus leading to a lower quality acquisition or 3) resources spent on M&A processes that ends up leading nowhere. Further, the company is exposed to FX and raw material prices, which have short-term effects on margins.

SEKm 2022 2023e 2024e
Sales 1833 1794 1861
Sales growth (%) 111 -2,1 3,7
EBITDA 291 280 296
EBITDA margin (%) 15,9 15,6 15,9
EBIT adj. 234 222 237
EBIT adj. margin (%) 12,8 12,4 12,7
Pretax profit 198 183 199
EPS 4,52 4,17 4,5
EPS growth (%) 66,6 -7,9 8,1
EPS adj. 4,68 4,17 4,5
DPS 1,5 1,67 1,96
EV/EBITDA (x) 5,8 5,6 5,5
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 7,2 7,1 6,9
P/E (x) 7,7 8,4 7,7
P/E adj. (x) 7,4 8,4 7,7
EV/sales (x) 0,92 0,88 0,88
FCF yield (%) 3,9 15,2 -0,2
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) 3,7 15,1 -0,4
Dividend yield (%) 4,3 4,8 5,6
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 1,6 1,2 1,4
Le. adj. ND/EBITDA (x) 1,5 1,2 1,3
SEKm 2022 2023e 2024e
Sales 1833 1794 1861
COGS -1076 -1048 -1084
Gross profit 757 746 777
Other operating items -467 -465 -481
EBITDA 291 280 296
Depreciation and amortisation -47 -48 -48
of which leasing depreciation -2 -2 -2
EBITA 244 233 247
EO Items -7 0 0
Impairment and PPA amortisation -17 -10 -10
EBIT 227 222 237
Net financial items -29 -39 -38
Pretax profit 198 183 199
Tax -39 -36 -40
Net profit 160 147 159
Minority interest 0 0 0
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders 160 147 159
EPS 4,52 4,17 4,5
EPS adj. 4,68 4,17 4,5
Total extraordinary items after tax -7 0 0
Leasing payments -2 -2 -2
Tax rate (%) 19,5 19,8 20
Gross margin (%) 41,3 41,6 41,7
EBITDA margin (%) 15,9 15,6 15,9
EBITA margin (%) 13,3 13 13,3
EBIT margin (%) 12,4 12,4 12,7
Pre-tax margin (%) 10,8 10,2 10,7
Net margin (%) 8,7 8,2 8,5
Growth Rates y-o-y N/A N/A N/A
Sales growth (%) 111 -2,1 3,7
EBITDA growth (%) 137 -3,5 5,4
EBITA growth (%) 146 -4,6 6,3
EBIT growth (%) N/A -2 6,6
Net profit growth (%) 177,7 -7,9 8,1
EPS growth (%) 66,6 -7,9 8,1
Profitability N/A N/A N/A
ROE (%) 26,6 14,9 14,6
ROE adj. (%) 30,6 16 15,6
ROCE (%) 14,6 13,6 13,8
ROCE adj. (%) 16,2 14,3 14,4
ROIC (%) 15,2 13,5 13,5
ROIC adj. (%) 15,7 13,5 13,5
Adj. earnings numbers N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA adj. 298 280 296
EBITDA adj. margin (%) 16,3 15,6 15,9
EBITDA lease adj. 296 278 293
EBITDA lease adj. margin (%) 16,1 15,5 15,8
EBITA adj. 251 233 247
EBITA adj. margin (%) 13,7 13 13,3
EBIT adj. 234 222 237
EBIT adj. margin (%) 12,8 12,4 12,7
Pretax profit Adj. 223 194 209
Net profit Adj. 184 158 169
Net profit to shareholders adj. 184 158 169
Net adj. margin (%) 10 8,8 9,1
SEKm 2022 2023e 2024e
EBITDA 291 280 296
Goodwill 614 623 623
Net financial items -29 -39 -38
Other intangible assets 387 394 394
Paid tax -39 -36 -40
Tangible fixed assets 320 324 322
Non-cash items 271 18 0
Right-of-use asset 0 0 0
Cash flow before change in WC 494 224 218
Total other fixed assets 0 0 0
Change in working capital -257 23 10
Fixed assets 1320 1340 1339
Operating cash flow 237 246 227
Inventories 444 417 409
Capex tangible fixed assets -28 -39 -44
Receivables 291 323 335
Capex intangible fixed assets -7 -10 -11
Other current assets 35 43 44
Acquisitions and Disposals -154 -10 -175
Cash and liquid assets 200 292 228
Free cash flow 48 188 -3
Total assets 2291 2414 2355
Dividend paid 0 -53 -59
Shareholders equity 935 1039 1139
Share issues and buybacks 480 0 0
Minority 0 0 0
Leasing liability amortisation -2 -2 -2
Total equity 935 1039 1139
Other non-cash items -123 -26 175
Long-term debt 569 547 547
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Leasing liability 12 12 12
Total other long-term liabilities 296 302 127
Short-term debt 72 73 73
Accounts payable 113 152 158
Other current liabilities 294 289 299
Total liabilities and equity 2291 2414 2355
Net IB debt 453 340 404
Net IB debt excl. pension debt 453 340 404
Net IB debt excl. leasing 441 328 392
Capital employed 1588 1670 1771
Capital invested 1388 1379 1543
Working capital 364 341 331
Market cap. diluted (m) 1231 1231 1231
Net IB debt adj. 453 340 404
Market value of minority 0 0 0
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity N/A N/A N/A
EV 1684 1571 1635
Total assets turnover (%) 78,8 76,3 78
Working capital/sales (%) 12,8 19,6 18,1
Financial risk and debt service N/A N/A N/A
Net debt/equity (%) 48,4 32,7 35,4
Net debt / market cap (%) 36,8 27,6 32,8
Equity ratio (%) 40,8 43 48,4
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) 48,4 32,7 35,4
Current ratio 2,03 2,09 1,92
EBITDA/net interest 10,2 7,2 7,8
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 1,6 1,2 1,4
Net IB debt/EBITDA lease adj. (x) 1,5 1,2 1,3
Interest coverage 8,6 6 6,5
SEKm 2022 2023e 2024e
Shares outstanding adj. 35 35 35
Diluted shares adj. 35 35 35
EPS 4,52 4,17 4,5
Dividend per share 1,5 1,67 1,96
EPS adj. 4,68 4,17 4,5
BVPS 26,47 29,41 32,24
BVPS adj. -1,84 0,64 3,46
Net IB debt/share 12,82 9,62 11,43
Share price 34,85 34,85 34,85
Market cap. (m) 1231 1231 1231
P/E (x) 7,7 8,4 7,7
EV/sales (x) 0,92 0,88 0,88
EV/EBITDA (x) 5,8 5,6 5,5
EV/EBITA (x) 6,9 6,8 6,6
EV/EBIT (x) 7,4 7,1 6,9
Dividend yield (%) 4,3 4,8 5,6
FCF yield (%) 3,9 15,2 -0,2
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) 3,7 15,1 -0,4
P/BVPS (x) 1,32 1,18 1,08
P/BVPS adj. (x) -18,91 54,5 10,08
P/E adj. (x) 7,4 8,4 7,7
EV/EBITDA adj. (x) 5,7 5,6 5,5
EV/EBITA adj. (x) 6,7 6,8 6,6
EV/EBIT adj. (x) 7,2 7,1 6,9
EV/CE (x) 1,1 0,9 0,9
Investment ratios N/A N/A N/A
Capex/sales (%) 1,9 2,7 3
Capex/depreciation 0,8 1,1 1,2
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 8,6 12 13,7
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles 1,8 2,5 2,8
Depreciation on intang / def. intang 0 0 0
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 13,91 14,05 14,28

Equity research

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Media

Svedbergs - Company presentation with CEO Per-Arne Andersson

Main shareholders - Svedbergs

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Stena 40.6 % 40.6 % 29 May 2023
Nordea Fonder 13.8 % 13.8 % 29 May 2023
If Skadeförsäkring AB 11.5 % 11.5 % 29 May 2023
Avanza Pension 3.1 % 3.1 % 29 May 2023
Nordnet Pensionsförsäkring 2.3 % 2.3 % 29 May 2023
Sune Svedberg 2.1 % 2.1 % 29 May 2023
Ida Svedberg Sandström 1.4 % 1.4 % 29 May 2023
Handelsbanken Fonder 1.3 % 1.3 % 31 May 2023
Nordea Funds (Lux) 1.1 % 1.1 % 30 Apr 2023
Thomas Wernhoff 1.0 % 1.0 % 29 May 2023
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB

Insider list - Svedbergs

Name Quantity Code Date
Michael Cassoe - 8 368 SELL 26 Aug 2021
Michael Cassoe - 1 511 SELL 26 Aug 2021
Michael Cassoe - 54 SELL 26 Aug 2021
Michael Cassoe - 67 SELL 25 Aug 2021
Michael Cassoe + 10 000 BUY 6 Aug 2021
Erik Thörn - 3 070 SELL 27 Jul 2021
Michael Cassoe + 10 000 BUY 15 Jun 2021
Michael Cassoe + 8 286 BUY 10 Jun 2021
Michael Cassoe + 3 545 BUY 3 Jun 2021
Thomas Elvlin + 885 BUY 1 Jun 2021

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