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Arctic Paper

Arctic Paper

Arctic Paper is a paper production company focusing on high quality coated and uncoated paper products. The company currently consist of three paper mills and five brands: Amber, Arctic, Arctic Volume, Munken and G. With a majority ownership of the Rottneros AB Group, the company complements their product portfolio with pulp production. Arctic Paper's main clients are printing houses, publishers and wholesalers, serving industries such as advertising and design indirectly.

Sustainability Information

Key risks include: (i) cyclicality of both pulp and paper demand, (ii) Arctic Paper's net short position on pulp, pulpwood, energy and chemicals prices, (iii) a structural decline in paper demand, (iv) potential losses stemming from hedging against electricity and pulp prices and (v) production facility-related issues such as risk of injuries, machinery breakdown, fires and other accidents that can adversely impact the company's production capabilities.

PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
Sales 3196,92 3052,61 3281,88
Sales growth (%) -6,9 -4,5 7,5
EBITDA 28 76 212
EBITDA margin (%) 0,9 2,5 6,4
EBIT adj. -152 -74 67
EBIT adj. margin (%) -4,8 -2,4 2,1
Pretax profit -204 -97 34
EPS -1,44 -0,9 0,33
EPS growth (%) N/A -37,3 N/A
EPS adj. -1,44 -0,9 0,33
Dividend per share 0 0 0,1
EV/EBITDA (x) 30 13,8 5,1
EV/EBIT adj. (x) -5,6 -14,2 16
P/E (x) N/A N/A 18,32
P/E adj. (x) N/A N/A 18,3
EV/sales (x) 0,27 0,34 0,33
FCF yield (%) -43,8 -48,6 -14,3
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) -45,1 -49,6 -15,3
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 1,6
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 4,1 3,9 1,5
Le. adj. ND/EBITDA (x) 4 4,5 1,7
PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
Sales 3196,92 3052,61 3281,88
COGS -2966 -2627 -2879
Gross profit 231 426 403
Other operating items -202 -350 -192
EBITDA 28 76 212
Depreciation and amortisation -190 -150 -144
Depreciation on leased assets 0 0 0
EBITA -166,01 -73,68 67,38
Operating EO items -14 0 0
Impairment and amortisation charges 0 0 0
EBIT -166,01 -73,68 67,38
Net financial items -38 -23 -33
Pretax profit -204 -97 34
Tax 40 16 -9
Net profit -163 -81 26
Minority interest -75 -18 3
Net profit discontinued 0 0 0
Net profit to shareholders -238 -99 28
EPS -1,44 -0,9 0,33
EPS adj. -1,44 -0,9 0,33
Total extraordinary items after tax -14 0 0
Leasing payments -6 -4 -4
Tax rate (%) 19,8 16,5 25,3
Gross margin (%) 7,2 13,9 12,3
EBITDA margin (%) 0,9 2,5 6,4
EBITA margin (%) -5,2 -2,4 2,1
EBIT margin (%) -5,2 -2,4 2,1
Pre-tax margin (%) -6,4 -3,2 1
Net margin (%) -5,1 -2,6 0,8
Sales growth (%) -6,9 -4,5 7,5
EBITDA growth (%) -90,5 168,6 178,5
EBITA growth (%) -189,7 -55,6 -191,5
EBIT growth (%) -189,7 -55,6 -191,5
Net profit growth (%) -200,8 -50,5 -131,7
EPS growth (%) N/A -37,3 N/A
Profitability N/A N/A N/A
Year N/A N/A N/A
ROE (%) -16,6 -7,2 2,1
ROE adj. (%) -15,6 -7,2 2,1
ROCE (%) -8 -3,3 3,7
ROCE adj. (%) -7,3 -3,3 3,7
ROIC (%) -7,3 -3,2 2,6
ROIC adj. (%) -6,7 -3,2 2,6
Adj. earnings numbers N/A N/A N/A
EBITDA adj. 42 76 212
EBITDA adj. margin (%) 1,3 2,5 6,4
EBITDA lease adj. 36 72 207
EBITDA lease adj. margin (%) 1,1 2,3 6,3
EBITA adj. -152 -74 67
EBITA adj. margin (%) -4,8 -2,4 2,1
EBIT adj. -152 -74 67
EBIT adj. margin (%) -4,8 -2,4 2,1
Pretax profit Adj. -190 -97 34
Net profit Adj. -149 -81 26
Net profit to shareholders adj. -224 -99 28
Net adj. margin (%) -4,7 -2,6 0,8
PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
EBITDA 28 76 212
Goodwill 8 8 8
Net financial items -38 -23 -33
Other intangible assets 85 109 109
Paid tax -37 8 -9
Tangible fixed assets 1528 1540 1561
Non-cash items 118 -34 -33
Right-of-use asset 0 0 0
Cash flow before change in WC 72 27 137
Other Fixed Assets All 22 22 22
Change in working capital 46 -50 -32
Fixed assets 1643 1679 1700
Operating cash flow 118 -23 105
Inventories 444 408 437
Capex tangible fixed assets -302 -181 -165
Receivables 368 401 460
Capex intangible fixed assets 0 0 0
Other current assets 173 80 86
Acquisitions and Disposals 0 0 0
Cash and liquid assets 152 10 -13
Free cash flow -184 -204 -60
Total assets 2779 2578 2671
Dividend paid 0 0 0
Shareholders equity 1416 1335 1354
Share issues and buybacks 0 0 0
Minority 282 308 313
Leasing liability amortisation -6 -4 -4
Total equity 1697 1643 1667
Other changes in net debt 92 27 41
Long-term debt 93 202 202
Pension debt 0 0 0
Convertible debt 0 0 0
Leasing liability 0 0 0
Total other long-term liabilities 110 107 107
Short-term debt 195 128 128
Accounts payable 455 381 434
Other current liabilities 127 116 132
Total liabilities and equity 2676 2578 2671
Net IB debt 116 300 323
Net IB debt excl. pension debt 116 300 323
Net IB debt excl. leasing 116 300 323
Capital employed 1985 1974 1998
Capital invested 1916 1943 1990
Working capital 403 392 418
Market cap. diluted (m) 420 420 420
Net IB debt adj. 147 320 343
Market value of minority 282 308 313
Reversal of shares and participations 0 0 0
Reversal of conv. debt assumed equity N/A N/A N/A
EV 848 1048 1076
Total assets turnover (%) 115,5 114 125
Working capital/sales (%) 13 13 12,3
Year N/A N/A N/A
Financial risk and debt service N/A N/A N/A
Net debt/equity (%) 6,8 18,3 19,4
Net debt / market cap (%) 27,6 71,5 77
Equity ratio (%) 61,1 63,7 62,4
Net IB debt adj. / equity (%) 8,6 19,5 20,6
Current ratio 1,46 1,44 1,4
EBITDA/net interest 0,8 3,3 6,4
Net IB debt/EBITDA (x) 4,1 3,9 1,5
Net IB debt/EBITDA lease adj. (x) 4 4,5 1,7
Interest coverage 3,9 2,2 1,9
PLNm 2025 2026e 2027e
Shares outstanding adj. 69 69 69
Diluted shares adj. 69 69 69
EPS -1,44 -0,9 0,33
Dividend per share 0 0 0,1
EPS adj. -1,44 -0,9 0,33
BVPS 20,43 19,27 19,54
BVPS adj. 19,08 17,59 17,85
Net IB debt/share 2,12 4,62 4,95
Share price 15,44 15,44 15,44
Market cap. (m) 420 420 420
P/E (x) N/A N/A 18,32
EV/sales (x) 0,27 0,34 0,33
EV/EBITDA (x) 30 13,8 5,1
EV/EBITA (x) -5,1 -14,2 16
EV/EBIT (x) -5,1 -14,2 16
Dividend yield (%) 0 0 1,6
FCF yield (%) -43,8 -48,6 -14,3
Le. adj. FCF yld. (%) -45,1 -49,6 -15,3
P/BVPS (x) 0,3 0,31 0,31
P/BVPS adj. (x) 0,3 0,32 0,31
P/E adj. (x) N/A N/A 18,3
EV/EBITDA adj. (x) 20,1 13,8 5,1
EV/EBITA adj. (x) -5,6 -14,2 16
EV/EBIT adj. (x) -5,6 -14,2 16
EV/CE (x) 0,4 0,5 0,5
Year N/A N/A N/A
Investment ratios N/A N/A N/A
Capex/sales (%) -9,4 -5,9 -5
Capex/depreciation 1,6 1,2 1,1
Capex tangibles / tangible fixed assets 19,8 11,7 10,6
Capex intangibles / definite intangibles N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on intang / def. intang N/A N/A N/A
Depreciation on tangibles / tangibles 12,46 9,71 9,23

Equity research

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Media

Arctic Paper - Company presentation with CFO Katarzyna Wojtkowiak
Arctic Paper - Fireside chat with President & CEO Michal Jarczyński

Main shareholders - Arctic Paper

Main shareholders Share capital % Voting shares % Verified
Thomas Onstad 68.3 % 68.3 % 16 Jun 2026
Norges Bank Investment Management 1.8 % 1.8 % 31 Dec 2025
Dimensional Fund Advisors 0.3 % 0.3 % 30 Jun 2026
Handelsbanken Fonder 0.2 % 0.2 % 30 Jun 2026
SEB Funds 0.2 % 0.2 % 30 Jun 2026
Storebrand Asset Management 0.1 % 0.1 % 30 Jun 2026
Per Lundeen 0.1 % 0.1 % 31 Dec 2025
New York City Employee Retirement System Group (NYCERS) 0.0 % 0.0 % 30 Jun 2024
Kärnavfallsfonden 0.0 % 0.0 % 31 Dec 2025
Skandia Fonder 0.0 % 0.0 % 31 Mar 2026
Source: Holdings by Modular Finance AB