Information från ABG Sundal Collier

Här finner du information kring börsens mindre och medelstora bolag. Avsändare är ABG Sundal Collier, innehållet är inte skapat av placera.nu:s redaktion.

« Tillbaka

Nilörn - FX masks underlying stability

07 april 2026

<a id="bm-comp-8b22d3e2-0d0b-4c97-9cc5-bae6e013ddee" name="bm-comp-8b22d3e2-0d0b-4c97-9cc5-bae6e013ddee" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="8b22d3e2-0d0b-4c97-9cc5-bae6e013ddee" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>Relatively light comps in Q1e, but market still tough</li><li>We raise '26e-'28e EBIT by 1-3%</li><li>Trading at 6.3x NTM EV/EBIT</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-47984ee9-e97d-4b43-a53e-35a3a55cf046" name="bm-comp-47984ee9-e97d-4b43-a53e-35a3a55cf046" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="47984ee9-e97d-4b43-a53e-35a3a55cf046" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">A solid underlying Q1e, offset by FX</h3><p>We expect positive organic growth of 2% in Q1'26e, which implies sales of SEK 238m and adj. EBIT of ~SEK 21m, corresponding to a margin of 8.9%, in line with last year. We expect the gross margin to slightly decline (-0.2pp) to 44.6%, although we note that this is a strong Q1 margin in a historical context and that the GM is highly affected by product mix. We keep in mind that the Chinese New Year occurred in early January 2025, which caused customers to place orders in Q4'24 rather than Q1'25. Due to this, Q1'26e should face relatively light comps in terms of sales growth. We expect Nil&#246;rn's order intake to be within the range of SEK 230m-250m. This is in line with Nil&#246;rn's average order intake on an LTM basis, and ~10-20% above the historical average of ~SEK 205m.</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Minor positive estimate changes</h3><p>We have made minor positive changes to our '26e-'28e sales and EBIT, raising them by 2% and 1-3%, respectively. The changes primarily follow positive FX movements, as we cut our organic growth estimates due to EU retail sales having shown a slightly softer trend than previously anticipated. While we make positive changes to our GM assumptions, the impact from this is offset by an increase in opex in '26e.</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Implied valuation</h3><p>On our updated estimates, Nil&#246;rn is trading at 6.3x-4.1x '26e-'28e adj. EV/EBIT. For context, Nil&#246;rn has traded at a median of 9.4x NTM EV/EBIT over the last five years. We are optimistic about the mid-term outlook for Nil&#246;rn, as we expect an improving consumer climate that will lead Nil&#246;rn's clients to increase sales and build inventory, especially in the luxury retail market. Moreover, we remain encouraged by Nil&#246;rn's investments in its Bangladeshi production facility, and believe this will facilitate efforts to reach the 10% EBIT margin target.</p></td></tr></table>

Senaste artiklar från alla bolag

Datum Titel Bolag Typ
2026-05-13 Ferronordic - German aftermarket gain drives marg... Ferronordic Analys
2026-05-13 Catella - Putting the strong balance sheet to use Catella Analys
2026-05-13 Energy Save - Topline beat, Q2 weakness ahead Energy Save Analys
2026-05-13 Ferronordic - Stronger in Germany Ferronordic Analys
2026-05-13 Generic - Volumes back in business Generic Analys
2026-05-13 Coeli Private Equity - Unlocking new exposure Coeli Priva.. Analys
2026-05-12 Ascelia Pharma - Steady quarter Ascelia Pharma Analys
2026-05-12 Arctic Paper - Turning the page on a weak market Arctic Paper Analys
2026-05-12 Svedbergs Group - Expanding footprint further Svedbergs G.. Analys
2026-05-11 Arctic Paper - Still cold, but the ice is cracking Arctic Paper Analys
2026-05-10 Clavister - The defence story is just starting Clavister Analys
2026-05-10 Generic - Bottoming before the bounce Generic Analys
2026-05-10 Prevas - Positioned for a stronger 2026 Prevas Analys
2026-05-10 Gentoo Media - Muted expectations for Q1 Gentoo Media Analys
2026-05-10 Inission - Momentum to persist throughout 2026 Inission Analys
2026-05-08 Proact - Strong near-term sales growth Proact Analys
2026-05-08 NYAB - Starting the year with a record order backlog NYAB Analys
2026-05-08 Catella - Q1 burden by weak transaction market Catella Analys
2026-05-08 I-tech - 2026 looking better than feared I-tech Analys
2026-05-08 Eolus - Solid Q1 but still navigating a mixed market Eolus Analys