Information från ABG Sundal Collier

Här finner du information kring börsens mindre och medelstora bolag. Avsändare är ABG Sundal Collier, innehållet är inte skapat av placera.nu:s redaktion.

« Tillbaka

Nilörn - FX masks underlying stability

07 april 2026

<a id="bm-comp-8b22d3e2-0d0b-4c97-9cc5-bae6e013ddee" name="bm-comp-8b22d3e2-0d0b-4c97-9cc5-bae6e013ddee" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="8b22d3e2-0d0b-4c97-9cc5-bae6e013ddee" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>Relatively light comps in Q1e, but market still tough</li><li>We raise '26e-'28e EBIT by 1-3%</li><li>Trading at 6.3x NTM EV/EBIT</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-47984ee9-e97d-4b43-a53e-35a3a55cf046" name="bm-comp-47984ee9-e97d-4b43-a53e-35a3a55cf046" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="47984ee9-e97d-4b43-a53e-35a3a55cf046" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">A solid underlying Q1e, offset by FX</h3><p>We expect positive organic growth of 2% in Q1'26e, which implies sales of SEK 238m and adj. EBIT of ~SEK 21m, corresponding to a margin of 8.9%, in line with last year. We expect the gross margin to slightly decline (-0.2pp) to 44.6%, although we note that this is a strong Q1 margin in a historical context and that the GM is highly affected by product mix. We keep in mind that the Chinese New Year occurred in early January 2025, which caused customers to place orders in Q4'24 rather than Q1'25. Due to this, Q1'26e should face relatively light comps in terms of sales growth. We expect Nil&#246;rn's order intake to be within the range of SEK 230m-250m. This is in line with Nil&#246;rn's average order intake on an LTM basis, and ~10-20% above the historical average of ~SEK 205m.</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Minor positive estimate changes</h3><p>We have made minor positive changes to our '26e-'28e sales and EBIT, raising them by 2% and 1-3%, respectively. The changes primarily follow positive FX movements, as we cut our organic growth estimates due to EU retail sales having shown a slightly softer trend than previously anticipated. While we make positive changes to our GM assumptions, the impact from this is offset by an increase in opex in '26e.</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Implied valuation</h3><p>On our updated estimates, Nil&#246;rn is trading at 6.3x-4.1x '26e-'28e adj. EV/EBIT. For context, Nil&#246;rn has traded at a median of 9.4x NTM EV/EBIT over the last five years. We are optimistic about the mid-term outlook for Nil&#246;rn, as we expect an improving consumer climate that will lead Nil&#246;rn's clients to increase sales and build inventory, especially in the luxury retail market. Moreover, we remain encouraged by Nil&#246;rn's investments in its Bangladeshi production facility, and believe this will facilitate efforts to reach the 10% EBIT margin target.</p></td></tr></table>

Senaste artiklar från alla bolag

Datum Titel Bolag Typ
2026-04-14 Embellence Group - Investing for the longer term Embellence .. Analys
2026-04-14 Petrolia Noco - Estimate changes from Crude Quart... Petrolia Noco Analys
2026-04-13 Alligo - Organic growth should accelerate in Q1 Alligo Analys
2026-04-13 Inission - Expect momentum to continue in Q1 Inission Analys
2026-04-13 SinterCast - Headwinds to persist in Q1 SinterCast Analys
2026-04-10 OssDsign - Declining sales in Q1 OssDsign Analys
2026-04-10 Xplora Technologies - Si si senior Xplora Tech.. Analys
2026-04-09 Proact - Low top-line visibility, better bottom-line Proact Analys
2026-04-07 Nilörn - FX masks underlying stability Nilörn Analys
2026-04-07 Svedbergs Group - UK outlook has become bleaker Svedbergs G.. Analys
2026-04-01 Careium - Entering a growth-focused period Careium Analys
2026-04-01 Medicover - Weather is set to be a drag Medicover Analys
2026-03-31 Midsona - Skipping down Sesame Street Midsona Analys
2026-03-31 Petrolia Noco - Brage builds momentum into 2026 Petrolia Noco Analys
2026-03-30 Cavotec - Industry leading the way Cavotec Analys
2026-03-30 Impact Coatings - Waiting for renewed momentum Impact Coat.. Analys
2026-03-30 I-tech - Another growth breather in Q1e I-tech Analys
2026-03-24 Donkey Republic - A donkey worth riding Donkey Repu.. Analys
2026-03-20 Coor - CMD added confidence in margin target Coor Analys
2026-03-16 Xplora Technologies - Acquires DACH's leading sen... Xplora Tech.. Analys