Information från ABG Sundal Collier

Här finner du information kring börsens mindre och medelstora bolag. Avsändare är ABG Sundal Collier, innehållet är inte skapat av placera.nu:s redaktion.

« Tillbaka

Arctic Paper - More paper cuts: Rottneros profit warning

20 januari 2026

<a id="bm-comp-67aa0431-147b-42ae-9c6a-8a59b0940e43" name="bm-comp-67aa0431-147b-42ae-9c6a-8a59b0940e43" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="67aa0431-147b-42ae-9c6a-8a59b0940e43" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li><font color="#000000">Rottneros Q4 EBITDA of SEK -180m vs. our SEK -80m</font></li><li><font color="#000000">Challenging markets for Rottneros and Arctic Paper</font></li><li><font color="#000000">Far-sighted is better than myopic</font></li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-3d6203a2-6234-45ab-b589-fd60e16a2c0e" name="bm-comp-3d6203a2-6234-45ab-b589-fd60e16a2c0e" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="3d6203a2-6234-45ab-b589-fd60e16a2c0e" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3"><font color="#000000">Rottneros PW: "Significantly weaker" Q4</font></h3><p><font color="#000000">Late yesterday evening, Rottneros published a profit warning. The company now estimates Q4 EBITDA of SEK -180m, which compares to our estimate of SEK -80m and SEK 10m in Q4'24. Rottneros comments on a continued weak market and lower realised prices. Lower pulpwood costs has materialised in the P&amp;L, however not enough to counteract the lower pulp prices in SEK. The earlier implemented savings program is reportedly going according to plan, and had full impact during Q4 (annual savings of SEK 45m). Note that Q4 also was affected by maintenance at Vallvik (guided SEK 70-80m impact on income).</font></p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;"><font color="#000000">Challenging markets for Rottneros and Arctic Paper</font></h3><p style="text-align:left;"><font color="#000000">The pulp market has suffered from increased uncertainty and geopolitical tensions the last year, but there's been a gradual improvement in data points for the sector recently (wood, pulp). Macro growth is weaker though. Wood costs will drop into '26 on the back of higher stocks. Nordic pulpwood prices are down 20-25% since the peak in mid-'25. Suzano has hiked hardwood prices five times, or +20%. Our in-house pulp price models point up for '26 due to a better utilisation rate (89%) and a weaker USD. Chinese integrated pulp capacity could cap the upside though when prices rise above the cash cost levels in China. The paper market is more problematic due to weak utilisation rates vs historical averages. Paper is at 75-80% vs 89% (there are 4% supply cuts in '26, but we need 3 mill t cuts to get back to the historical level).</font></p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;"><font color="#000000">Far-sighted is better than myopic</font></h3><p style="text-align:left;"><font color="#000000">The market will remain challenging for some time, but far-sighted is better than myopic. The P&amp;P market has its short term issues, but pulp prices are already below the marginal producers' cash cost (typically not long-lasting) and paper capacity cuts could follow post UPM x Sappi JV completion. The group will also likely see tailwinds once lower wood prices takes hold.</font></p></td></tr></table>pagebreak

Senaste artiklar från alla bolag

Datum Titel Bolag Typ
2026-09-08 Infrea - From local roots to larger routes Infrea Analys
2026-09-06 Petrolia Noco - Brage shutdown masked by price an... Petrolia Noco Analys
2026-09-04 Nepa - Marketing measurement on a recurring base Nepa Analys
2026-09-02 Qben Infra - Needs more time to convert growth to... Qben Infra Analys
2026-09-02 Xplora Technologies - A setback, but long-term po... Xplora Tech.. Analys
2026-09-02 Proact - Dell Q2: Storage sales +12% vs cons Proact Analys
2026-08-28 Gentoo Media - Deleveraging focus in H2'26 Gentoo Media Analys
2026-08-27 Lumi Gruppen - Margins strong, but softer intake ... Lumi Gruppen Analys
2026-08-27 Lumi Gruppen - Delivering on H1, H2 looks more ch... Lumi Gruppen Analys
2026-08-26 Inission - Power turnaround progressing well Inission Analys
2026-08-26 Gentoo Media - A bit softer than expected Gentoo Media Analys
2026-08-26 Inission - Inission Power drives beat, demand sti... Inission Analys
2026-08-25 Isofol Medical - Maximising the dose before Phase 2 Isofol Medical Analys
2026-08-24 Skolon - Broad-based growth continues Skolon Analys
2026-08-24 Gentoo Media - FCF generation remains top priority Gentoo Media Analys
2026-08-24 Impact Coatings - Backlog to carry H2e Impact Coat.. Analys
2026-08-24 I-tech - Beyond a single molecule I-tech Analys
2026-08-23 Catella - Signs of improvement, but delivery stil... Catella Analys
2026-08-23 Ogunsen - Some signs of stabilisation Ogunsen Analys
2026-08-21 Clavister - Strong quarter strengthens the outlook Clavister Analys