<a id="bm-comp-6f18f153-ec8c-47c6-970e-ae3bacad43db" name="bm-comp-6f18f153-ec8c-47c6-970e-ae3bacad43db" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="6f18f153-ec8c-47c6-970e-ae3bacad43db" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>'25e-'27e adj. EBITA down 2-5%</li><li>Cost savings aid EBITA but slow org. growth</li><li>'26e EV/EBITA of ~8x, nearly 50% below peers</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-bd529a16-23c0-4aab-8e85-b292f7650189" name="bm-comp-bd529a16-23c0-4aab-8e85-b292f7650189" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="bd529a16-23c0-4aab-8e85-b292f7650189" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3">What to expect in Q3'25</h3><p>We expect sales of SEK 2,025m for Q3'25, implying ~7% organic y-o-y growth in addition to a ~3% FX headwind. We expect the gross margin to improve by ~60bps given that freight rates, which are often transacted in USD, have decreased somewhat. The cost rationalisation programme, which should save Humble ~SEK 80m per year, will carry a restructuring cost of ~SEK 35m in Q3'25, meaning that we anticipate adj. EBITA of SEK 160m, which implies 5% y-o-y growth and a margin of 7.9%. However, the restructuring cost does not include any potential severance for the former CEO, Mr. Petr&#233;n, who departed recently.</p><h3 class="bm-h3">'25e-'27e adj. EBITA down 2-5%</h3><p>Going into Q3 reporting season, we cut '26e-'27e sales by 2-3% and '25e-'27e adj. EBITA by 2-5%. Our updated assessment on growth entails a future in which the new CEO (recruitment process ongoing) focuses more on the cost base than on organic growth opportunities. Moreover, we take a somewhat more cautious approach with regard to incorporating the incremental cost savings, as our previous estimates had already presumed more cost efficiency in the organisation. From a capital allocation standpoint, we understand that the company is open to exploring options to divest assets or change the ownership structure of certain subsidiaries. In our view, the less-complex options tend to be the best, especially for a group that consists of nearly 50 different subsidiaries.</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Valuation</h3><p>Based on our revised estimates, the company is trading around 8x '26e EV/EBITA, while peers are trading at an average of 15x despite growing sales at a slower rate.</p></td></tr></table>