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Nilörn - Strong orders, but pressured margins

12 februari 2026

<a id="bm-comp-8178a86a-5216-40b5-8a11-67e8a3ddc9e6" name="bm-comp-8178a86a-5216-40b5-8a11-67e8a3ddc9e6" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="8178a86a-5216-40b5-8a11-67e8a3ddc9e6" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>Sales 2% and adj. EBIT -31% vs. ABGSCe</li><li>Order intake SEK 251m, above expectations</li><li>Likely negative consensus estimate revisions</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-b50c570d-25a0-4919-8a8e-62353bdebf07" name="bm-comp-b50c570d-25a0-4919-8a8e-62353bdebf07" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="b50c570d-25a0-4919-8a8e-62353bdebf07" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3">Q4'25 impressions</h3><p>Q4 was better than expected on sales and order bookings, but dissapointed on adj. EBIT. Nil&#246;rn delivered sales of SEK 219m (2% vs ABGSCe 214m), corresponding to y-o-y organic growth ex. FX of 6%. The CEO comments on a cautious market and FX headwinds, as the majority of Nil&#246;rn's sales are made in currencies linked to the USD and not SEK. The order intake came in at SEK 251m, implying a y-o-y growth of 5%. This was partly due to a major order (SEK 18m) that typically is received in Q3 but arrived in Q4 2025. For reference, we expected order bookings in the range of SEK 220-240m, meaning that order bookings were above expectations even when excluding the major order. The gross margin increased to 47% (1pp vs ABGSCe 46%). Adj. EBIT amounted to SEK 11m (-31% vs ABGSCe 17m), for a margin of 5.2% (-2.5pp vs ABGSCe 7.7%), vs. 8.4% Q4'24.</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Thoughts and outlook</h3><p>Nil&#246;rn's business model is highly scalable, and quarters with low volumes leads to negative operating leverage, which partly drove the EBIT miss vs. our estimates. While some costs were temporarily elevated, we expect margins to remain pressured in the short term. Visibility has come down a bit, as Nil&#246;rn is highly affected by FX movements and the retail market overall is experiencing uncertainty. Nil&#246;rn comments on continued caution in the market, specifically in the luxury segment, while other segments such as sports and outdoor are stable. Nil&#246;rn reiterates its commentary on current high inventories in the luxury market, which it assesses should come down in mid-2026, ultimately leading to higher demand. Nil&#246;rn reiterates its target of 7% growth</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Mechanical impact on cons. earnings is within a h.s.d. range</h3><p>The share is down ~5% YTD and Nil&#246;rn is trading at ~8x '25e EV/EBIT on our unrevised estimates. The mechanical impact on consensus estimates on the back of the report is within a negative mid-single-digit range.</p><br /><table id="bm-img-23b220fc-e0c3-41ac-8416-7ade799561b2" class="bm-img-table xslt-img-empty xslt-img-include"><tr><td class="xslt-img-caption">Deviation table</td></tr><tr><td><img bm-img-encrypt="23b220fc-e0c3-41ac-8416-7ade799561b2" bm-img-original-height="292" bm-img-original-width="680" bm-img-svg="image:image_upload/93997_9789482e-b142-4839-af95-8b298760042a.svg" bm-img-width-hint="93.54%" id="bm-id-23b220fc-e0c3-41ac-8416-7ade799561b2" src="https://abgsc.bluematrix.com/images/image_upload/93997_9789482e-b142-4839-af95-8b298760042a_680.png" svg="/nas/web/clients/abgsc/images/image_upload/93997_9789482e-b142-4839-af95-8b298760042a.svg" width="680" alt="" title="" /></td></tr><tr><td class="xslt-img-source">Source: ABG Sundal Collier, Company data.</td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

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