Information från ABG Sundal Collier

Här finner du information kring börsens mindre och medelstora bolag. Avsändare är ABG Sundal Collier, innehållet är inte skapat av placera.nu:s redaktion.

« Tillbaka

Nilörn - Fit for performance

10 juli 2025

<a id="bm-comp-c80aaf93-667c-4936-94c8-fa50408ac94f" name="bm-comp-c80aaf93-667c-4936-94c8-fa50408ac94f" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="c80aaf93-667c-4936-94c8-fa50408ac94f" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>Earnings naturally hedged</li><li>Potential to generate order intake above the historical average</li><li>NTM EV/EBIT just short of 8x</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-013e609e-fca4-4392-a4fd-7b6c50b41c32" name="bm-comp-013e609e-fca4-4392-a4fd-7b6c50b41c32" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="013e609e-fca4-4392-a4fd-7b6c50b41c32" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">What to look for in Q2'25</h3><p>In Q2'25, we expect positive organic growth of 2%, which implies sales of SEK 245m and adj. EBIT of ~SEK 28m, corresponding to a margin of 11.5%. Our updated Q2 estimates therefore imply a negative estimate revision of -4% for Q2 sales, although EBIT is unchanged due to favourable FX changes. We expect Nil&#246;rn's order intake to be within the range of ~SEK 210-220m, i.e. flat to slightly up. For reference, an order intake of SEK 210-220m is above the historical average of ~190m (excluding Q2'20).</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Minor estimate changes</h3><p>We have lowered our '25e-'27e sales by 1%. However, FX should provide a tailwind in 2025, so we are raising EBIT by 3%. '26e-'27e are more consistent with the sales cut, as we have reduced EBIT by 3-2% due to a weaker product mix in terms of margins, as the packaging offering grows. Readers should note that an FX drag has a negative impact on sales, but a positive impact on gross margins and the opex base, and Nil&#246;rn is therefore naturally hedged. We continue to believe that Nil&#246;rn's investments in Bangladesh and Portugal will help the company gain market share, particularly given the changing landscape of the supply chain (i.e. shifting from China to other countries). In terms of financial targets, Nil&#246;rn should be able to achieve its margin target this year.</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Valuation</h3><p>Our new estimates imply that Nil&#246;rn is trading slightly below 8x NTM EV/EBIT. We also note that the company is trading at an NTM EV/EBIT level that is approximately 10% below the corresponding five-year median.</p></td></tr></table>

Senaste artiklar från alla bolag

Datum Titel Bolag Typ
2025-07-28 Cavotec - Soft Q2, but tide to turn in H2'25e Cavotec Analys
2025-07-25 Gentoo Media - Sequential improvements in Q2e Gentoo Media Analys
2025-07-25 Cavotec - Sales miss, but orders rebound Cavotec Analys
2025-07-24 Medicover - Scaling with strength Medicover Analys
2025-07-24 Medicover - Still shining bright Medicover Analys
2025-07-23 Energy Save - Soft Q2 triggers profit warning Energy Save Analys
2025-07-23 Studsvik - Hot market, sharper profits Studsvik Analys
2025-07-22 INVISIO - Order uptick needed in H2e INVISIO Analys
2025-07-22 Studsvik - Small Q2 miss, but outlook remains solid Studsvik Analys
2025-07-21 CTT Systems - One step forward, one step back CTT Systems Analys
2025-07-21 Cavotec - Waiting for volume upturn Cavotec Analys
2025-07-21 OrganoClick - Near-term weakness in FW & NWFT to ... OrganoClick Analys
2025-07-21 Infrea - Uneven terrain, but direction still right Infrea Analys
2025-07-21 Green Landscaping Group - On the wrong side of th... Green Lands.. Analys
2025-07-20 Nolato - Margin train keeps going Nolato Analys
2025-07-20 Humble Group - Return to M&A increasingly likely Humble Group Analys
2025-07-20 Svedbergs Group - Strong EBITA momentum could con... Svedbergs G.. Analys
2025-07-20 Berner Industrier - T&D looks set for healthier m... Berner Indu.. Analys
2025-07-18 Ework Group - Margin resilience, but auto woes Ework Group Analys
2025-07-18 Green Landscaping Group - Market headwinds weigh ... Green Lands.. Analys