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OrganoClick - NW&FT weakness to continue, set for better H2

09 juli 2025

<a id="bm-comp-79adaa52-7c15-4a3a-8f15-6a0a50e8a924" name="bm-comp-79adaa52-7c15-4a3a-8f15-6a0a50e8a924" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="79adaa52-7c15-4a3a-8f15-6a0a50e8a924" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>Report out 18 July</li><li>Q2e: sales SEK 37m, -3% y-o-y, EBIT SEK -0.1m</li><li>Headwinds in NW&amp;FT and FW, good momentum in GC&amp;MP</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-8190ebaf-a7ec-4d17-8ae1-4b8cbb6637db" name="bm-comp-8190ebaf-a7ec-4d17-8ae1-4b8cbb6637db" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="8190ebaf-a7ec-4d17-8ae1-4b8cbb6637db" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3">Q2 expectations</h3><p>We estimate Q2 sales of SEK 37m, -3% y-o-y and +6% q-o-q. We expect GC&amp;MP will remain the growth driver (+9% y-o-y), driven by strong demand for OrganoClick's consumer products. For NW&amp;FT and FW, we anticipate continued softness due to weak end-markets. NW&amp;FT has been facing price pressure from fossil-based competitors, which led the company to reduce prices in Q2&#8217;24. However, with stabilising volumes, and with easier comps ahead, we expect NW&amp;FT to return to growth in H2'25. On EBIT, we estimate SEK -0.4m (-0.1m). We estimate the company will end the quarter with a cash balance of SEK 1.6m, which can be compared to the lease-adj. R12m FCF of SEK -17m.</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">EBIT positive in '26e</h3><p>Due to the continued weakness in the hotel, restaurant and construction markets, we lower '25e-'27e sales by 4-3% and '25e-'27e EBIT by SEK 4m. We expect the end-markets to gradually recover and NW&amp;FT to regain momentum in H2'25 and OrganoClick to end FY'25e with positive growth, supported by good traction in the company's GC&amp;MP segment. Furthermore, we expect EBIT to turn positive in '26e on improving volumes and the company's continued focus on cost control.</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Valuation</h3><p>The company is currently trading at 2.4x-1.8x '25e-'27e EV/Sales vs. peers at 4.2x-2.3x. As our long-term view of the company remains largely unchanged, we reiterate our fair value range of SEK 2.0-3.0.</p></td></tr></table>

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