Information från ABG Sundal Collier

Här finner du information kring börsens mindre och medelstora bolag. Avsändare är ABG Sundal Collier, innehållet är inte skapat av placera.nu:s redaktion.

« Tillbaka

Generic - Bottoming before the bounce

10 maj 2026

<a id="bm-comp-36599d9a-8e21-4345-a45b-371bd1106eae" name="bm-comp-36599d9a-8e21-4345-a45b-371bd1106eae" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="36599d9a-8e21-4345-a45b-371bd1106eae" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li><font color="#000000">Volumes likely soft in Q1</font></li><li><font color="#000000">Management changes to weigh on earnings</font></li><li><font color="#000000">EV/EBIT of 10-9x on '26e-'27e, ~60% below its CPaaS peers</font></li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-54c2f210-b2a7-487c-b6a1-4682c029c6e7" name="bm-comp-54c2f210-b2a7-487c-b6a1-4682c029c6e7" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="54c2f210-b2a7-487c-b6a1-4682c029c6e7" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3">Likely at the bottom of the cycle</h3><p>The market continues to be weighed by pricing pressure and customers holding back on spending, which we have seen hurting volumes and sales growth across peers. For Generic, we expect Q1'26 sales of SEK 46m, representing 3% y-o-y growth, with SMS volumes being the main factor holding back the top line. What we like about Generic is its growing tilt towards non-cyclical segments, such as e-health, alongside with the continued expansion of its SaaS products (e.g. DOCS) with higher penetration in the Swedish municipalities. We expect this shift to broaden over time, lifting both recurring revenue and gross margins. For now, however, we think we are at the bottom of the cycle and estimate a gross margin of 44% in Q1 and adj. EBIT of SEK 10m, for an EBIT margin of 21% (23% Q1'25), likely held back by management changes.</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Management changes to weigh on earnings</h3><p>Generic has gone through some management changes in recent months, and we think this will weigh on margins in the near term, and we therefore cut our '26e EBIT by 7%. Looking at H2'26e, the company will have easier comps, and we estimate sales growth of 7% in '26e, an EBIT margin of 21% (21% '25).</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Trading at an EV/EBIT of 10-9x '26e-'27e</h3><p>We think over time that Generic will reach more customer groups. The company owns its own data centres, and can secure its customers' data, and offers solutions such as DOCS and SenderID. What we like about the company is that it has over time been a quality company, with margins over peers, and a ~95% cash conversion over the last five years. The company is trading at 10x EV/EBIT, ~60% below average CPaaS peers, and ~1.5x better EBIT margins for '26e-'27e.</p></td></tr></table>

Senaste artiklar från alla bolag

Datum Titel Bolag Typ
2026-05-24 Gentoo Media - Continues to deleverage Gentoo Media Analys
2026-05-22 Tempest Security - Feedback from ABGSC's Investor... Tempest Sec.. Analys
2026-05-22 Coeli Private Equity - Feedback from ABGSC's Inve... Coeli Priva.. Analys
2026-05-22 Ogunsen - Holding margins through a soft market Ogunsen Analys
2026-05-22 BTS Group - Feedback from ABGSC's Investor Days BTS Group Analys
2026-05-22 Infrea - Feedback from ABGSC's Investor Days Infrea Analys
2026-05-22 Tempest Security - Securing a strong start Tempest Sec.. Analys
2026-05-21 Midsona - Feedback from ABGSC Investor Days Midsona Analys
2026-05-21 Tempest Security - Guarding leading the way Tempest Sec.. Analys
2026-05-21 Gentoo Media - Stable quarter despite sports marg... Gentoo Media Analys
2026-05-21 Xplora Technologies - Soft ARPU, good cost control Xplora Tech.. Analys
2026-05-21 BTS Group - North American recovery, guidance unc... BTS Group Analys
2026-05-19 Generic - Broadening verticals lift the mix Generic Analys
2026-05-19 Isofol Medical - Taking action on recruitment Isofol Medical Analys
2026-05-19 Lumi Gruppen - Accretive acquisition of Bjørknes Lumi Gruppen Analys
2026-05-15 Energy Save - Q2e cuts but brighter H2e ahead Energy Save Analys
2026-05-13 Ferronordic - German aftermarket gain drives marg... Ferronordic Analys
2026-05-13 Catella - Putting the strong balance sheet to use Catella Analys
2026-05-13 Energy Save - Topline beat, Q2 weakness ahead Energy Save Analys
2026-05-13 Ferronordic - Stronger in Germany Ferronordic Analys