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Energy Save - Weaker sales but better cost control

13 november 2025

<a id="bm-comp-f16ffb4d-ffcd-4bb0-bd51-de0c92615649" name="bm-comp-f16ffb4d-ffcd-4bb0-bd51-de0c92615649" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="f16ffb4d-ffcd-4bb0-bd51-de0c92615649" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>Q3 sales SEK 46m (vs. ABGSCe 60m), EBIT -3m (vs. ABGSCe -2m)</li><li>Better than expected cost control</li><li>Inventory levels down, FCF positive in the quarter (vs. SEK -5m LY)</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-16d2e93e-335b-48d6-90b1-2154e28b0ca3" name="bm-comp-16d2e93e-335b-48d6-90b1-2154e28b0ca3" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="16d2e93e-335b-48d6-90b1-2154e28b0ca3" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3">Q3 results</h3><p style="text-align:left;">Q3 sales were weaker than expected at SEK 46m (-9% y-o-y and -22% vs. ABGSCe 60m). The softer sales were mainly due to a continued inventory build-up among customers during the quarter. The company states that it saw a clear recovery in the OEM business primarily during the latter part of Q3 and sales to OEM customers have now resumed. Meanwhile, ES-branded sales were up both y-o-y and q-o-q and were SEK 18m (vs. 15m LY), reflecting stronger momentum in the company&#8217;s own distribution network. Despite weaker sales, the company demonstrated better cost control than expected thanks to its recent cost-saving initiatives and EBIT was SEK -3m (vs. ABGSCe -2m, -5m LY). Furthermore, it was encouraging to see that inventory levels decreased y-o-y, with FCF turning positive in the quarter at SEK 1m (-5m LY). The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of SEK 32m (52m LY).</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Estimate changes and outlook</h3><p>On numbers alone, '25e-'27e sales is impacted by negative 6-3% and EBIT by SEK -1m (vs. FY'25e estimate of SEK -18m). On outlook, ES guides for continued recovery and growth into Q4, supported by resumed OEM sales and the ongoing rollout of its R290 heat pump range, which is now subsidy-eligible across many key markets in Europe.</p><h3 class="bm-h3" style="text-align:left;">Valuation</h3><p style="text-align:left;">Prior to today's report, the share was down -16% L3M and is on our pre-report estimates and is trading at 11x-4x '26e-'27e P/E on our pre-report estimates. The company will host a <a data-bm-trackable="false" href="https://energysave.events.inderes.com/q3-report-2025/register" target="_blank">presentation</a> of the Q3 results at 10:00.</p></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-99a53bc2-c2c9-42d7-ad79-6b0d8a3efc7b" name="bm-comp-99a53bc2-c2c9-42d7-ad79-6b0d8a3efc7b" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="99a53bc2-c2c9-42d7-ad79-6b0d8a3efc7b" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><table id="bm-img-2bc35ad1-094b-4a47-8ae6-ba0465622289" class="bm-img-table xslt-img-empty xslt-img-include"><tr><td class="xslt-img-caption">Quarterly outcome vs. expectations</td></tr><tr><td><img bm-img-encrypt="2bc35ad1-094b-4a47-8ae6-ba0465622289" bm-img-original-height="595" bm-img-original-width="703" bm-img-svg="image:image_upload/91956_007916ff-e9b3-4bb4-864d-4cf1e551d60b.svg" bm-img-width-hint="96.70%" id="bm-id-2bc35ad1-094b-4a47-8ae6-ba0465622289" src="https://abgsc.bluematrix.com/images/image_upload/91956_007916ff-e9b3-4bb4-864d-4cf1e551d60b_703.png" svg="/nas/web/clients/abgsc/images/image_upload/91956_007916ff-e9b3-4bb4-864d-4cf1e551d60b.svg" width="703" alt="" title="" /></td></tr><tr><td class="xslt-img-source">Source: ABG Sundal Collier, company data</td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

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