Information från ABG Sundal Collier

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Energy Save - Sales growth but weak FCF on NWC

16 maj 2025

<a id="bm-comp-86c36f32-3155-4877-8d07-5b38ee7d44a6" name="bm-comp-86c36f32-3155-4877-8d07-5b38ee7d44a6" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="86c36f32-3155-4877-8d07-5b38ee7d44a6" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><ul><li>Sales SEK 54m (ABGSCe 55m), EBIT -4m (ABGSCe -7m)</li><li>Market conditions remain soft, anticipates weaker Q2</li><li>Cost savings programme initiated</li></ul></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-0e86bbdc-e681-403c-bfc9-9fd17e0afe22" name="bm-comp-0e86bbdc-e681-403c-bfc9-9fd17e0afe22" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="0e86bbdc-e681-403c-bfc9-9fd17e0afe22" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><h3 class="bm-h3">Q1 results</h3><p>Energy Save reported Q1 sales of 54m (-2% vs. ABGSCe SEK 55m), +39% y-o-y and +2% q-o-q, driven by the company's OEM business and Aira collaboration (85% of sales). The gross margin was 34% (ABGSCe 27%), vs. 38% LY. The company writes that it initiated a savings programme in the quarter, leading to cost savings and <font color="#000000">EBIT came in higher than expected at SEK -4m</font> (ABGSCe SEK -7m). The company writes that it has carried out a review of its facilities, which is expected to reduce costs by SEK 2m on an annual basis. However, the positive FCF trend was halted and weakened to SEK -20m (4.7m in Q4'24) due to increased inventory and receivables. The cash balance came in at SEK 29m, vs. 54m in the prior quarter.</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Estimate changes and outlook</h3><p>We do not expect any major changes to '25e-'27e sales as the numbers were fairly in line with estimates. On the outlook, the company highlights that the uncertain geopolitical situation continues and that customers remain cautious. This, combined with temporary inventory build-up by its OEM customers, is leading to order delays during the current low season. Given these factors and typical seasonal patterns, the company expects a weaker performance in Q2 (we currently have SEK 58m in our estimates, -44% y-o-y).</p><h3 class="bm-h3">Valuation</h3><p>Prior to today's report, the share was down 18% L3M and is on our pre-report estimates trading at 0.4x-0.2x EV/Sales '25e-'27e and 5x-2x EBIT '26e-'27e. The company will host a <a data-bm-trackable="false" href="https://energysave.events.inderes.com/q1-report-2025/register" target="_blank">presentation</a> of the Q1 results at 10:00.</p></td></tr></table><a id="bm-comp-28fabb28-1db3-45cc-b97b-25fe6656277f" name="bm-comp-28fabb28-1db3-45cc-b97b-25fe6656277f" class="BMCustomAnchor"></a><table><tr><td bm-component-id="28fabb28-1db3-45cc-b97b-25fe6656277f" style="vertical-align: top; width:100.000000%;"><table id="bm-img-d3942f3d-445a-459d-840a-f5b668d07e27" class="bm-img-table xslt-img-empty xslt-img-include"><tr><td class="xslt-img-caption">Quarterly outcome vs. expectations</td></tr><tr><td><img bm-img-encrypt="d3942f3d-445a-459d-840a-f5b668d07e27" bm-img-original-height="592" bm-img-original-width="703" bm-img-svg="image:image_upload/87817_e14951d6-5d5d-44c1-a359-c4070a1b2e8d.svg" bm-img-width-hint="96.83%" id="bm-id-d3942f3d-445a-459d-840a-f5b668d07e27" src="https://abgsc.bluematrix.com/images/image_upload/87817_e14951d6-5d5d-44c1-a359-c4070a1b2e8d_703.png" svg="/nas/web/clients/abgsc/images/image_upload/87817_e14951d6-5d5d-44c1-a359-c4070a1b2e8d.svg" width="703" alt="" title="" /></td></tr><tr><td class="xslt-img-source">Source: ABG Sundal Collier, company data</td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

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